Recent Updates
- US: Philadelphia Fed State Coincidence Indexes (Apr)
- US: Advance Durable Goods (Apr)
- Maldives: Depository Corporations Survey (Apr)
- Mexico: GDP (Q1), Economic Activity (Mar), Trade (Apr)
- Bosnia: PPI (Apr)
- more updates...
Economy in Brief
U.S. Mortgage Applications Continue to Weaken
The MBA Loan Applications Index fell 1.2% (-54.5% y/y) in the week ended May 20...
German Climate Reading Continues to Skid Toward the Abyss
Germany's GfK consumer climate reading improved ever so slightly in June...
U.S. New Home Sales Plunge in April as Prices Jump
The new home sales market is unraveling...
U.S. Energy Prices Rise Further
Retail gasoline prices increased to $4.59 per gallon in the week ended May 23...
S&P Flash PMIs Are Mixed in May As Manufacturing Erodes Slowly
Among the early reporting countries in Europe and Japan, the S&P PMI readings for May tilt toward weakness...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
State Coincident Indexes in April 2022
State Labor Markets in April 2022
Profits & Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation and Fed Policy: A Relationship which Should Worry the Fed and Scare Investors
by Tom Moeller November 24, 2004
Durable goods orders fell 0.4% in October led lower by declines in orders for motor vehicles and capital goods. A 0.5% gain in orders had been the Consensus expectation.
Nondefense capital goods orders dropped 3.3% as orders for computers & electronic products were dragged 5.7% (+3.7% y/y) lower by a 10.3% (+7.0% y/y) decline in orders for computers. Electrical equipment & appliance orders also were down by 3.5% (+2.2% y/y), the second consecutive monthly decline.
Transportation equipment orders rose 0.3% but the gain was wholly due to a 35.2% (-17.2% y/y) spurt in defense aircraft. Motor vehicle & parts orders fell 2.8% (-3.2% y/y) and nondefense aircraft orders fell 0.4% (-1.6% y/y) following huge declines during the prior two months. Durable goods orders less transportation fell 0.7% (+9.6% y/y).
Orders for machinery were again quite strong logging a 3.7% m/m gain (+24.7% y/y). fabricated metals orders also rose by 3.1% (+13.1% Y/Y).
Unfilled orders rose 0.6% (8.6% y/y) but the ratio of backlogs to shipments fell.
Inventories of durable goods 0.5% (6.5% y/y). The inventory to shipment ratio was about stable at 1.39, up from the low of 1.35 in March but well down from the highs near 1.7 in 2001.
NAICS Classification | Oct | Sept | Y/Y | 2003 | 2002 | 2001 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Durable Goods Orders | -0.4% | 0.9% | 5.7% | 2.6% | -1.7% | -10.5% |
Nondefense Capital Goods | -3.3% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | -7.2% | -15.5% |
Excluding Aircraft | -3.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | -7.1% | -12.9% |