Recent Updates
- US: New Residential Sales with Revisions (Apr)
- Flash PMIs: Japan, France, Germany, Euro Area, UK, US (May)
- UK: Public Finance (Apr), CBI Distributive Trades Survey (May)
- Mexico: Construction (Mar), SemiMonthly CPI (May)
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Economy in Brief
U.S. Energy Prices Rise Further
Retail gasoline prices increased to $4.59 per gallon in the week ended May 23...
S&P Flash PMIs Are Mixed in May As Manufacturing Erodes Slowly
Among the early reporting countries in Europe and Japan, the S&P PMI readings for May tilt toward weakness...
NABE Lowers Growth Expectations for Next Year & 2022
The NABE expects the economic expansion to continue through its third year...
Chicago Fed National Activity Index Improves in April
The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) rose to 0.47 during April...
IFO Registers Small Rebound on the Month
Germany's IFO index has rebounded on the month...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
Profits & Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation and Fed Policy: A Relationship which Should Worry the Fed and Scare Investors
Why Have the Yields on TIPS Been Negative in the Past Two Years?
by Louise Curley November 2, 2004
The downward trend in German retail sales that began in late 2003 continues. In September, the headline series--the value of retail sales excluding autos and gas stations--declined 0.41% from August and was 1.93% below September, 2003. Including autos and gas stations, the comparable figures were 0.20% and 2.39%.
In volume terms, retail sales, excluding autos and gas stations, declined 0.41% in September from August and were 1.93% below September 2003. The comparable figures for the volume of retail sales including autos and gas stations were 0.10% and 2.79%.
The rise in oil prices during this year has, no doubt, affected purchasing power adversely, but rising unemployment and reduction in welfare benefits associated with Chancellor Schroeder's reform program, Agenda 2010, have also played a significant role in reducing purchasing power and in lowering the propensity to consume.
German Retail Sales Indexes (2000=100) | Sep 04 | Aug 04 | Sep 03 | M/M % | Y/Y % | 2003 | 2002 | 2001 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Excluding Autos and Gas Stations | ||||||||
Value | 98.2 | 98.6 | 99.8 | -0.41 | -1.60 | 100.1 | 100.3 | 101.9 |
Volume | 96.7 | 97.1 | 98.6 | -0.41 | -1.93 | 98.7 | 98.9 | 101.0 |
Including Autos and Gas Stations | ||||||||
Value | 99.4 | 99.6 | 101.8 | -0.20 | -2.39 | 101.8 | 101.3 | 102.1 |
Volume | 97.5 | 97.6 | 100.3 | -0.10 | -2.79 | 100.1 | 100.0 | 101.5 |