Recent Updates
- US: New Residential Sales with Revisions (Apr)
- Flash PMIs: Japan, France, Germany, Euro Area, UK, US (May)
- UK: Public Finance (Apr), CBI Distributive Trades Survey (May)
- Mexico: Construction (Mar), SemiMonthly CPI (May)
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Economy in Brief
U.S. Energy Prices Rise Further
Retail gasoline prices increased to $4.59 per gallon in the week ended May 23...
S&P Flash PMIs Are Mixed in May As Manufacturing Erodes Slowly
Among the early reporting countries in Europe and Japan, the S&P PMI readings for May tilt toward weakness...
NABE Lowers Growth Expectations for Next Year & 2022
The NABE expects the economic expansion to continue through its third year...
Chicago Fed National Activity Index Improves in April
The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) rose to 0.47 during April...
IFO Registers Small Rebound on the Month
Germany's IFO index has rebounded on the month...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
Profits & Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation and Fed Policy: A Relationship which Should Worry the Fed and Scare Investors
Why Have the Yields on TIPS Been Negative in the Past Two Years?
by Tom Moeller October 11, 2004
Consumer credit outstanding fell $2.4B in August following an $11.2B spike in July. Year-to-year growth in consumer credit of roughly 4% was depressed as individuals shifted borrowing to lower interest rate, home equity lines of credit.
In August, revolving credit outstanding fell $3.4B (1.8% y/y) and usage of nonrevolving credit was up a modest $0.9B (4.8% y/y). Total consumer credit accounts for just 15% of total credit owed by individuals.
According to the Federal Reserve's broader Flow of Funds Accounts, total credit owed by individuals surged 8.8% y/y through 2Q04. The strength was driven by 11.9% growth in mortgage debt on nonfarm homes (55% of individuals' total liabilities) and also by 7.0% growth in mortgage debt excl. homes (12% of individuals' total). "Other liabilities" rose 7.8% y/y and are 16% of individuals' liabilities.
The ratio of individuals' assets to liabilities was 2.27 in 2Q versus 2.31 last year and a peak of 3.38 in 1999. Since 1999, assets rose at a 1.6% annual rate while liabilities surged at a 9.2% annual rate per year.
Consumer Credit Outstanding | Aug | July | Y/Y | 2003 | 2002 | 2001 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total | $-2.4B | $11.2B | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 8.0% |
Revolving | $-3.4B | $5.6B | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 6.6% |
Nonrevolving | $0.9B | $5.7B | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 9.0% |