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- US: Kansas City Fed Mfg Survey (May)
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Economy in Brief
Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Index Dips in May But Remains Strong
The Kansas City Fed reported that its manufacturing sector business activity index declined to 23 in May...
U.S. Pending Home Sales Decline Sharply in April
Home buying remains under pressure...
U.S. Unemployment Claims Eased Slightly in the Latest Week
Initial claims for unemployment insurance filed in the week ended May 21 were 210,000 (-52.4% y/y)...
U.S. Durable Goods Orders Increase Modestly in April
Manufacturers' new orders for durable goods increased 0.4% during April (12.2% y/y)...
U.S. Mortgage Applications Continue to Weaken
The MBA Loan Applications Index fell 1.2% (-54.5% y/y) in the week ended May 20...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
State Coincident Indexes in April 2022
State Labor Markets in April 2022
Profits & Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation and Fed Policy: A Relationship which Should Worry the Fed and Scare Investors
by Tom Moeller October 6, 2004
The index of mortgage applications compiled by the Mortgage Bankers Association was stable last week with the prior period, but started October 4.1% ahead of the September average.
Applications to refinance rose 2.7% w/w. They began October 11.0% ahead of September when refis rose 12.9% versus August. Purchase applications fell 2.2% and began the month down 1.2% from the September average.
During the last ten years there has been a 60% correlation between the y/y change in purchase applications and the change in new plus existing home sales.
The effective interest rate on a conventional 30-year mortgage rose to 6.05% versus 5.91% the prior week. The effective rate on a 15-year mortgage roe to 5.54%.
"Interest Rates, Yield Curves and the Monetary Regime" from the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland can be found here.
The Mortgage Bankers Association surveys between 20 to 35 of the top lenders in the U.S. housing industry to derive its refinance, purchase and market indexes. The weekly survey accounts for more than 40% of all applications processed each week by mortgage lenders. Visit the Mortgage Bankers Association site here.
MBA Mortgage Applications (3/16/90=100) | 10/01/04 | 09/24/04 | Y/Y | 2003 | 2002 | 2001 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total Market Index | 724.8 | 724.7 | -11.3% | 1,067.9 | 799.7 | 625.6 |
Purchase | 459.0 | 469.1 | 4.1% | 395.1 | 354.7 | 304.9 |
Refinancing | 2,270.8 | 2,211.1 | -24.4% | 4,981.8 | 3,388.0 | 2,491.0 |