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Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
Profits & Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation and Fed Policy: A Relationship which Should Worry the Fed and Scare Investors
Why Have the Yields on TIPS Been Negative in the Past Two Years?
by Tom Moeller September 29, 2004
The index of mortgage applications compiled by the Mortgage Bankers Association jumped 4.9% last week. The average for mortgage applications in September is 7.4% ahead of August.
The effective interest rate on a conventional 30-year mortgage ticked lower to 5.91% versus 6.04% averaged in August. In May, 30-year financing averaged 6.53%. The effective rate on a 15-year mortgage fell to 5.33%, down from 5.97% averaged in May.
Applications to refinance added 7.7% to the prior week's 4.1% gain and for September are 12.9% ahead of August. Purchase applications rose 2.7% and for September are 3.5% higher than in August.
During the last ten years there has been a 60% correlation between the y/y change in purchase applications and the change in new plus existing home sales.
"Federal Government Debt and Interest Rates" from the American Enterprise Institute can be found here.
The Mortgage Bankers Association surveys between 20 to 35 of the top lenders in the U.S. housing industry to derive its refinance, purchase and market indexes. The weekly survey accounts for more than 40% of all applications processed each week by mortgage lenders. Visit the Mortgage Bankers Association site here.
MBA Mortgage Applications (3/16/90=100) | 09/24/04 | 09/17/04 | Y/Y | 2003 | 2002 | 2001 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total Market Index | 724.7 | 690.7 | 2.5% | 1,067.9 | 799.7 | 625.6 |
Purchase | 469.1 | 456.6 | 17.9% | 395.1 | 354.7 | 304.9 |
Refinancing | 2,211 | 2,052.5 | -11.8% | 4,981.8 | 3,388.0 | 2,491.0 |