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Economy in Brief
U.S. Mortgage Applications Continue to Weaken
The MBA Loan Applications Index fell 1.2% (-54.5% y/y) in the week ended May 20...
German Climate Reading Continues to Skid Toward the Abyss
Germany's GfK consumer climate reading improved ever so slightly in June...
U.S. New Home Sales Plunge in April as Prices Jump
The new home sales market is unraveling...
U.S. Energy Prices Rise Further
Retail gasoline prices increased to $4.59 per gallon in the week ended May 23...
S&P Flash PMIs Are Mixed in May As Manufacturing Erodes Slowly
Among the early reporting countries in Europe and Japan, the S&P PMI readings for May tilt toward weakness...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
State Coincident Indexes in April 2022
State Labor Markets in April 2022
Profits & Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation and Fed Policy: A Relationship which Should Worry the Fed and Scare Investors
by Louise Curley September 28, 2004
Consumer confidence among Dutch consumers fell to -22 in September from -19 in August. Consumers became less willing to purchase goods as the balance of those willing to purchase goods went to -20 from -17 in August. At the same time, consumers viewed the current climate somewhat less favorably with the balance dropping from -22 in August to -24 in September. In spite of these declines, the general trend of consumer confidence has been upward since March of 2003 and the three indicators of confidence are all well above year ago levels.
Confidence among producers in the Netherlands increased from 0.5 in August to 0.7 in September. Expectations of improved production trends outweighed appraisals of the current production and new order trends.
As shown in the attached chart, producer confidence has been in positive territory since May of this year--the first time this has occurred since March of 2001 except of a brief spike in September, 2002. Thus, the optimists among producers are beginning to outweigh the pessimists. In the case of consumers, however, the pessimist still outweigh the optimists by a wide margin.
Per Cent Balance | Sep 04 | Aug 04 | Sep 03 | M/M pts |
Y/Y pts |
2003 % | 2002 % | 2001 % |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Consumer confidence | -22 | -19 | -34 | -3 | 12 | -25 | -20 | -1 |
Economic climate | -24 | -22 | -51 | -2 | 26 | -56 | -39 | -25 |
Willingness to buy | -20 | -17 | -24 | -3 | 4 | -22 | -8 | 15 |
Producer confidence | 0.7 | 0.5 | -4.9 | 0.2 | 5.6 | -5.6 | -1.6 | -1.1 |
Production trend | -9 | 2 | -9 | -11 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 |
Expected production trend | 12 | 2 | 13 | 10 | -1 | 1 | 6 | 4 |
New order trend | -4 | 0 | -7 | -4 | 3 | -2 | 1 | -3 |