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Economy in Brief
Chicago Fed National Activity Index Improves in April
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Of these 13 readings eight of them declined on the month in May three of them improved and two of them were unchanged...
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Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
Profits & Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation and Fed Policy: A Relationship which Should Worry the Fed and Scare Investors
Why Have the Yields on TIPS Been Negative in the Past Two Years?
by Tom Moeller September 28, 2004
Chain store sales fell another 0.3% last week as Hurricane Jeanne hit Florida's east coast on Friday, according to the International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC)-UBS. The decline followed a 1.1% drop the prior week prompted by Hurricane Ivan.
The decline lowered September sales so far 0.7% below the August average which was unchanged from July.
During the last ten years there has been a 60% correlation between y/y change in chain store sales and the change in non-auto retail sales less gasoline.
The ICSC-UBS retail chain-store sales index is constructed using the same-store sales reported by 78 stores of seven retailers: Dayton Hudson, Federated, Kmart, May, J.C. Penney, Sears and Wal-Mart.
| ICSC-UBS (SA, 1977=100) | 09/25/04 | 09/18/04 | Y/Y | 2003 | 2002 | 2001 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total Weekly Retail Chain Store Sales | 433.5 | 434.7 | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
