Recent Updates
- US: New Residential Sales with Revisions (Apr)
- Flash PMIs: Japan, France, Germany, Euro Area, UK, US (May)
- UK: Public Finance (Apr), CBI Distributive Trades Survey (May)
- Mexico: Construction (Mar), SemiMonthly CPI (May)
- Brazil: IPCA-15 (May)
- more updates...
Economy in Brief
U.S. Energy Prices Rise Further
Retail gasoline prices increased to $4.59 per gallon in the week ended May 23...
S&P Flash PMIs Are Mixed in May As Manufacturing Erodes Slowly
Among the early reporting countries in Europe and Japan, the S&P PMI readings for May tilt toward weakness...
NABE Lowers Growth Expectations for Next Year & 2022
The NABE expects the economic expansion to continue through its third year...
Chicago Fed National Activity Index Improves in April
The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) rose to 0.47 during April...
IFO Registers Small Rebound on the Month
Germany's IFO index has rebounded on the month...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
Profits & Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation and Fed Policy: A Relationship which Should Worry the Fed and Scare Investors
Why Have the Yields on TIPS Been Negative in the Past Two Years?
by Tom Moeller September 24, 2004
Mass layoffs in the US as reported to the Bureau of Labor Statistics plunged 61.4% in August to the lowest level since August 2000. The decline, however, followed sharp increases in the prior two months.
The number of firms reporting mass layoffs in August fell to 809 from 2,094 in July.
These layoffs generated 69,033 (-48.4% y/y) initial claims for unemployment insurance, down a sharp 72.8% m/m.
Since the series inception in 1995 there has been a (negative) 45% correlation between the number of initial claims generated by mass layoffs and the one month change in non-farm payrolls.
The Mass Layoff Statistics (MLS) program collects reports on mass layoff actions that result in workers being separated from their jobs. Monthly mass layoff numbers are from establishments which have at least 50 initial claims for unemployment insurance (UI) filed against them during a 5-week period. Extended mass layoff numbers (issued quarterly) are from a subset of such establishments--where private sector non-farm employers indicate that 50 or more workers were separated from their jobs for at least 31 days.
Creative destruction and heightened job uncertainty are explored in this paper from the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia titled "CEOs, Clerks, Computers, and the Rise of Competition in the Late 20th Century."
Mass Layoffs | Aug | July | Y/Y | 2003 | 2002 | 2001 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Number of Events: All Industries | 809 | 2,094 | -35.7% | 18,963 | 20,277 | 21,467 |
Numbers of Persons Filing Initial Unemployment Insurance Claim: All Industries | 69,033 | 253,929 | -48.4% | 1,888,926 | 2,245,051 | 2,514,862 |