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Economy in Brief
U.S. Advance Trade Deficit Narrowed Markedly in April
The advance estimate of the U.S. international trade deficit in goods narrowed to $105.9 billion in April...
As Inflation Overshoots, Are Central Banks Overdoing It?
This report is a reminder of how complicated inflation and monetary policy making can be...
U.S. GDP Decline is Little-Revised in Q1'22; Corporate Profits Fall
U.S. real GDP fell 1.5%, SAAR (+3.5% y/y) last quarter...
Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Index Dips in May But Remains Strong
The Kansas City Fed reported that its manufacturing sector business activity index declined to 23 in May...
U.S. Pending Home Sales Decline Sharply in April
Home buying remains under pressure...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
by Tom Moeller September 22, 2004
The index of mortgage applications compiled by the Mortgage Bankers Association rose 1.8% last week. So far in September mortgage applications are 5.9% ahead of August.
Last week's rise in applications was spurred by another sharp gain in applications to refinance which rose 4.1% and for September are 9.8% ahead of August.
The effective interest rate on a conventional 30-year mortgage ticked down to 5.92% from 5.95% the prior week and from 6.04% averaged in August. In May, 30-year financing averaged 6.53%. The effective rate on a 15-year mortgage fell to 5.35%, down from 5.97% averaged in May.
Purchase applications ticked up 0.2% after a 4.3% decline the prior week. Purchase applications in September are 3.2% higher than in August. During the last ten years there has been a 60% correlation between the y/y change in purchase applications and the change in new plus existing home sales.
The Mortgage Bankers Association surveys between 20 to 35 of the top lenders in the U.S. housing industry to derive its refinance, purchase and market indexes. The weekly survey accounts for more than 40% of all applications processed each week by mortgage lenders. Visit the Mortgage Bankers Association site here.
MBA Mortgage Applications (3/16/90=100) | 09/17/04 | 09/10/04 | Y/Y | 2003 | 2002 | 2001 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total Market Index | 690.7 | 678.2 | -1.3% | 1,067.9 | 799.7 | 625.6 |
Purchase | 456.6 | 455.7 | 13.6% | 395.1 | 354.7 | 304.9 |
Refinancing | 2,052.5 | 1,972.5 | -15.5% | 4,981.8 | 3,388.0 | 2,491.0 |