Recent Updates
- US: Kansas City Fed Mfg Survey (May)
- US: Pending Home Sales Index (Apr)
- US: GDP and Corporate Profits (Q1, 2nd release)
- Canada: Retail Trade, Payroll Employment (Mar)
- South Africa: PPI (Apr) Government Debt (Apr-Prelim)
- more updates...
Economy in Brief
Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Index Dips in May But Remains Strong
The Kansas City Fed reported that its manufacturing sector business activity index declined to 23 in May...
U.S. Pending Home Sales Decline Sharply in April
Home buying remains under pressure...
U.S. Unemployment Claims Eased Slightly in the Latest Week
Initial claims for unemployment insurance filed in the week ended May 21 were 210,000 (-52.4% y/y)...
U.S. Durable Goods Orders Increase Modestly in April
Manufacturers' new orders for durable goods increased 0.4% during April (12.2% y/y)...
U.S. Mortgage Applications Continue to Weaken
The MBA Loan Applications Index fell 1.2% (-54.5% y/y) in the week ended May 20...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
State Coincident Indexes in April 2022
State Labor Markets in April 2022
Profits & Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation and Fed Policy: A Relationship which Should Worry the Fed and Scare Investors
by Tom Moeller September 21, 2004
The Federal Open Market Committee raised the target rate for federal funds by 25 basis points to 1.75%, as expected. The discount rate also was raised 25 basis points to 2.75%.
The decision was unanimous.
Today's press release from the Fed again contained comments suggesting that rates could be raised again. "The Committee believes that, even after this action, the stance of monetary policy remains accommodative and, coupled with robust underlying growth in productivity, is providing ongoing support to economic activity." These comments are identical to the Fed's last.
The Fed's statement noted that the economy "appears to have regained some traction" after moderating in reaction to higher energy prices.
For the complete text of the Fed's latest press release please click here.
Today's action by the FOMC seems more to address market inflationary expectations rather than economic growth or inflation directly. As the accompanying chart indicates, price inflation during the last twenty years has not been very responsive to whether the US economy was operating above or below its potential.
The role of money in determining inflation is discussed here by the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond in a report titled "How Do Central Banks Control Inflation?."
"1994", a commentary on past FOMC action from the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis is available here.