Recent Updates
- Hungary: Labor Force (Apr)
- Kazakhstan: Bank Loans (Apr)
- Singapore: IP (Apr)
- Australia: General Insurance Performance (Q1)
- Japan: Services Producer Price Indexes, Semiconductor Mfg Equipment
- more updates...
Economy in Brief
U.S. Mortgage Applications Continue to Weaken
The MBA Loan Applications Index fell 1.2% (-54.5% y/y) in the week ended May 20...
German Climate Reading Continues to Skid Toward the Abyss
Germany's GfK consumer climate reading improved ever so slightly in June...
U.S. New Home Sales Plunge in April as Prices Jump
The new home sales market is unraveling...
U.S. Energy Prices Rise Further
Retail gasoline prices increased to $4.59 per gallon in the week ended May 23...
S&P Flash PMIs Are Mixed in May As Manufacturing Erodes Slowly
Among the early reporting countries in Europe and Japan, the S&P PMI readings for May tilt toward weakness...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
State Coincident Indexes in April 2022
State Labor Markets in April 2022
Profits & Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation and Fed Policy: A Relationship which Should Worry the Fed and Scare Investors
by Tom Moeller September 16, 2004
Initial claims for unemployment insurance rose 16,000 last week to 333,000 following the huge 43,000 drop the week prior that was little revised. Consensus expectations had been for a larger rise to 345,000.
The 4-week moving average of initial claims was stable at 338,000 (-16.6% y/y). During the last ten years there has been an 81% (negative) correlation between the monthly average of initial claims and the y/y change in payroll employment.
Continuing claims for unemployment insurance fell 3,000 following a downwardly revised 7,000 gain the week prior.
The insured rate of unemployment remained at 2.3%, where it has hovered since the end of April.
"Two Measures of Employment: How Different Are They?" from the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco can be found here.
Unemployment Insurance (000s) | 09/11/04 | 09/04/04 | Y/Y | 2003 | 2002 | 2001 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Initial Claims | 333 | 317 | -17.0% | 399 | 403 | 403 |
Continuing Claims | -- | 2,882 | -19.8% | 3,516 | 3,564 | 2974 |