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Economy in Brief
U.S. Mortgage Applications Continue to Weaken
The MBA Loan Applications Index fell 1.2% (-54.5% y/y) in the week ended May 20...
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Germany's GfK consumer climate reading improved ever so slightly in June...
U.S. New Home Sales Plunge in April as Prices Jump
The new home sales market is unraveling...
U.S. Energy Prices Rise Further
Retail gasoline prices increased to $4.59 per gallon in the week ended May 23...
S&P Flash PMIs Are Mixed in May As Manufacturing Erodes Slowly
Among the early reporting countries in Europe and Japan, the S&P PMI readings for May tilt toward weakness...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
State Coincident Indexes in April 2022
State Labor Markets in April 2022
Profits & Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation and Fed Policy: A Relationship which Should Worry the Fed and Scare Investors
by Carol Stone August 17, 2004
Industrial production recovered in July after its June fall. However, the 0.4% gain was less than the 0.5% market forecasters had looked for, and June itself was revised lower, from a 0.3% decline to a 0.5% decline.
The hints of softness in the production data are concentrated in utilities. Mild weather yielded a 2.5% fall in utility output in June and another 2.1% in July. Production in the important factory sector rebounded 0.6% last month after a 0.2% fall in June.
Output of motor vehicles stabilized after following sizable declines in May and June. The high tech sector continued to expand with some vigor; relatively slower growth occurred in March and April, 1.3% and 1.5%, respectively, but the last three months have averaged 2.5% each. Accompanying the lower utility output, energy producers saw their output reduced by 0.6% after a 1.7% drop in June. Other industries' (excluding energy, motor vehicles and high tech) production moderated in July to a 0.3% rise from 0.4% in June. It is evident visually in the graph that US industry has become more economical in its use of energy. Over the 37-year history of the energy data, that output has increased at a 1.5% annualized rate, as total industry has expanded at a 2.7% pace, a "productivity" difference of 1.2 percentage points. However, over the last 15 years, energy output has been slower, at 1.1%, even as total industrial output has picked up to a 2.9% rate, reflecting a larger "productivity" of 1.8 percentage points.
Total capacity utilization increased to 77.1%, although the downward revision to June means that the July increase leaves utilization still below the 77.2% originally calculated for June. Growth in capacity continued at 1.3% y/y.
Production & Capacity | July | June | Y/Y | 2003 | 2002 | 2001 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Industrial Production | 0.4% | -0.5% | 4.9% | 0.3% | -0.6% | -3.4% |
Capacity Utilization | 77.1% | 76.9% | 74.5%(7/03) | 74.8% | 75.6% | 77.4% |