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Economy in Brief
U.S. Energy Prices Rise Further
Retail gasoline prices increased to $4.59 per gallon in the week ended May 23...
S&P Flash PMIs Are Mixed in May As Manufacturing Erodes Slowly
Among the early reporting countries in Europe and Japan, the S&P PMI readings for May tilt toward weakness...
NABE Lowers Growth Expectations for Next Year & 2022
The NABE expects the economic expansion to continue through its third year...
Chicago Fed National Activity Index Improves in April
The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) rose to 0.47 during April...
IFO Registers Small Rebound on the Month
Germany's IFO index has rebounded on the month...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
Profits & Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation and Fed Policy: A Relationship which Should Worry the Fed and Scare Investors
Why Have the Yields on TIPS Been Negative in the Past Two Years?
by Carol Stone China's Industrial Production "Slows" to 16.2% Growth July 9, 2004
The National Bureau of Statistics in China today reported a "slowdown" in industrial production for June to a year-on-year growth rate of 16.2%. This is the fourth consecutive monthly reduction in the growth rate, which reached 23.2% in February.
Such rapid growth is outstripping that big economy's capacity, and power shortages have already developed, press reports indicate. Consumer prices are also rising more rapidly. A slower expansion of economic activity is thus desirable, and government officials have taken several monetary and regulatory policy steps. Bank lending has been restrained, and this is evident in the growth of the money supply M2. As seen in the accompanying chart, fast as that growth is, it was slower in May than it has been since late 2002. June consumer prices will be reported Tuesday, July 13; their performance is seen as key in whether further policy steps are necessary.
Yr/Yr % Change | June 2004 | May 2004 | Apr 2004 | 2003 | 2002 | 2001 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Industrial Production: Value Added | 16.2 | 17.5 | 19.1 | 18.1 | 14.9 | 8.7 |
Consumer Prices | N.A. | 4.4 | 3.8 | 3.2 | -0.4 | -0.3 |
M2 Money Supply | N.A. | 16.8 | 18.2 | 19.6 | 16.9 | 17.6 |