Recent Updates
- US: New Residential Sales with Revisions (Apr)
- Flash PMIs: Japan, France, Germany, Euro Area, UK, US (May)
- UK: Public Finance (Apr), CBI Distributive Trades Survey (May)
- Mexico: Construction (Mar), SemiMonthly CPI (May)
- Brazil: IPCA-15 (May)
- more updates...
Economy in Brief
U.S. Energy Prices Rise Further
Retail gasoline prices increased to $4.59 per gallon in the week ended May 23...
S&P Flash PMIs Are Mixed in May As Manufacturing Erodes Slowly
Among the early reporting countries in Europe and Japan, the S&P PMI readings for May tilt toward weakness...
NABE Lowers Growth Expectations for Next Year & 2022
The NABE expects the economic expansion to continue through its third year...
Chicago Fed National Activity Index Improves in April
The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) rose to 0.47 during April...
IFO Registers Small Rebound on the Month
Germany's IFO index has rebounded on the month...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
Profits & Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation and Fed Policy: A Relationship which Should Worry the Fed and Scare Investors
Why Have the Yields on TIPS Been Negative in the Past Two Years?
by Louise Curley May 4, 2004
The monthly household survey conducted by the Instiute National de la Statistique et Etudes Economic (INSEE) showed a slight improvement in French consumer confidence in April, with the overall balance of opinion rising from a minus 22 to a minus 20.
The survey, however, gives little encouragement that consumer spending is about to provide stronger support to the economy. In spite of a sharp drop in those expecting an increase in unemployment and improved outlooks for their personal finances and living standards, consumers indicated that they were less likely to make major purchases in April than they were in March.
In its press release INSEE announced a change in methodology, effective January 2004, to harmonize its measure with other European economic surveys. The release provided only six months of data that used the new methodology. These data are shown in the following table and in the attached chart, they data have been linked to data based on the old methodology.
INSEE Household Survey (% balance) |
Apr 04 | Mar 04 | Feb 04 | Jan 04 | Dec 03 | Nov 03 | M/M % chg |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Summary Indicator | -20 | -22 | -23 | -22 | -25 | -24 | 2 |
Personal Financial Situation Outlook | 4 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -5 | -3 | 3 |
Living Standard Outlook | -22 | -28 | -26 | -27 | -32 | -23 | 6 |
Unemployment | 39 | 50 | 50 | 38 | 52 | 48 | -11 |
Likelihood of Major Purchases | -12 | -10 | -15 | -10 | -18 | -19 | -2 |
Prices Outlook | -45 | -44 | -39 | -38 | -38 | -39 | -1 |