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Economy in Brief
U.S. Mortgage Applications Continue to Weaken
The MBA Loan Applications Index fell 1.2% (-54.5% y/y) in the week ended May 20...
German Climate Reading Continues to Skid Toward the Abyss
Germany's GfK consumer climate reading improved ever so slightly in June...
U.S. New Home Sales Plunge in April as Prices Jump
The new home sales market is unraveling...
U.S. Energy Prices Rise Further
Retail gasoline prices increased to $4.59 per gallon in the week ended May 23...
S&P Flash PMIs Are Mixed in May As Manufacturing Erodes Slowly
Among the early reporting countries in Europe and Japan, the S&P PMI readings for May tilt toward weakness...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
State Coincident Indexes in April 2022
State Labor Markets in April 2022
Profits & Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation and Fed Policy: A Relationship which Should Worry the Fed and Scare Investors
by Tom Moeller April 23, 2004
Growth in the UK economy moderated a bit in Q1 2004, according to the "Preliminary" release of GDP today. Total GDP at market prices gained 0.6%, somewhat slower than the 0.9% advance in Q4 2003.
For the industrial sector, this meant a steeper decline. That portion of the economy, which includes manufacturing, mining and energy output, has shown an increase in only one quarter since the end of 2000.
Services, by contrast, continue to grow vigorously, although not quite as fast in the first quarter as the fourth quarter's full 1.0%. However, within that broad segment, the subcategory of distribution, food and hotel services and repair services, expanded by 1.2%, its largest advance since the summer of 2002.
In this preliminary release, there is little further detail. But overall, the UK economy, driven by service sector expansion, is extending its healthy growth track, not as strongly as the late 1990s, but firmer, surely, than the recession plagued period two-to-three years ago.Note: the UK Office of National Statistics cautions that early data responses were unusually low in March, so these figures may be subject to more revision than normal.
Q1 2004 | Q4 2003 | Year/Year | 2003 | 2002 | 2001 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GDP Chained Volume Index, 2000=100 | 108.1 | 107.4 | 104.9* | 106.1 | 103.8 | 102.1 |
% Change | 0.6 | 0.9 | 3.0 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 2.1 |
Industrial Production % Change | -0.5 | -0.1 | -0.3 | -0.5 | -2.7 | -1.6 |
Service Industries % Change | 0.8 | 1.0 | 2.9 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.6 |