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Economy in Brief
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The MBA Loan Applications Index fell 1.2% (-54.5% y/y) in the week ended May 20...
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Germany's GfK consumer climate reading improved ever so slightly in June...
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The new home sales market is unraveling...
U.S. Energy Prices Rise Further
Retail gasoline prices increased to $4.59 per gallon in the week ended May 23...
S&P Flash PMIs Are Mixed in May As Manufacturing Erodes Slowly
Among the early reporting countries in Europe and Japan, the S&P PMI readings for May tilt toward weakness...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
State Coincident Indexes in April 2022
State Labor Markets in April 2022
Profits & Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation and Fed Policy: A Relationship which Should Worry the Fed and Scare Investors
by Louise Curley April 19, 2004
France's Current Account has been deteriorating since early 2002. In 2003 it was 53% below the level of 2002. Much of the decline can be attributed to the rise of the euro, which on average rose from .9452 to 1.1317, or about 20%.
The attached chart compares the Euro on an inverted scale with France's current account balance. The rise in the euro (a decline on the chart) since early 2002 is reflected in the decline of the current account balance.
The euro has recently declined and as of April 19, was 1.2019, or some 6% below the peak reached in January of this year. A lower euro should help to improve France's current account and the improvement in the current account in February, moving to a positive 1,397 million euros from a negative 409 million euros in January is encouraging. However, the current account for the first two months of the year is still only half that of the first two months of 2002.
France | Feb 04 | Jan 04 | Feb 03 | M/M Chg | Y/Y Chg | 2003 | 2002 | 2001 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Current Account (millions of Euros) |
1397 | -404 | 727 | 1806 | 670 | 10828 | 23209 | 24627 |
US$ vs Euro | 1.261 | 1.2640 | 1.0785 | 0.02 | 17.20 | 1.1317 | .9453 | .8955 |