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Economy in Brief
Surging Imports Send the EMU Trade Scene Deeper into Deficit
The trade balance for the Euro Area fell sharply to 17.5 billion euros in March...
U.S. Import Prices Hold Steady While Export Prices Rise in April
Import prices held steady m/m (+12.0% y/y) in April...
EMU IP Drops Month-to-Month and Year-over-Year
Industrial output among EMU members fell by 1.8% month-to-month in March...
U.S. Producer Price Inflation Moderates in April
The Producer Price Index for Final Demand increased 0.5% during April...
U.S. Housing Affordability Plunges in March
Affordable homes are in short supply...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
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Why Have the Yields on TIPS Been Negative in the Past Two Years?
"Core" GDP Suggests Economy Gained Momentum in Q1:2022
by Tom Moeller April 6, 2022
• Decline in purchase applications accelerates.
• Sharp decline in refinancing applications continues.
• Mortgage interest rates continue to increase.
The Mortgage Bankers Association's Loan Applications Index fell 6.3% (-42.5% y/y) in the week ending April 1 after the previous week's 6.8% drop. Applications to purchase a home fell 3.4% (-9.0% y/y) following a 0.6% rise. Loan refinancing applications fell 9.9% (-62.0% y/y) after a 14.9% decline in the previous week.
The share of applications for refinancing declined to 38.8% last week from 40.6% the previous week. The adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM) share of activity in the latest week rose to 6.8% from 6.6% in the previous week.
Mortgage interest rates in the week of April 1 increased to 5.06% for 30-year fixed-rate loans from 4.96% in the previous week. It remained the highest rate since December 2018, up from a 2.95% low in December 2020. The effective rate on a 15-year mortgage rose to 4.25% last week from 4.15% in the week prior. The rate on a Jumbo 30-year mortgage rose to 4.61% from 4.53%. The rate on a 5-year adjustable-rate mortgage increased to 3.99% from 3.90%.
Applications for fixed-rate loans declined 6.4% (-44.4% y/y) in the week ended April 1 following a 7.0% fall in the prior week. Applications for adjustable-rate mortgages fell 4.1% (+5.3% y/y) after falling 3.7% in the previous week.
The average size of a mortgage loan edged 0.3% higher (20.6% y/y) last week to $389,200. The average size of a loan for purchase eased 0.1% (+13.3% y/y) to $452,600. The average size of a refinanced loan declined 1.2% (+6.3% y/y) to $289,300.
This survey covers over 75% of all U.S. retail residential mortgage applications and has been conducted weekly since 1990. Respondents include mortgage bankers, commercial banks, and thrifts. The base period and value for all indexes is March 16, 1990=100. The figures for weekly mortgage applications and interest rates are available in Haver's SURVEYW database.
MBA Mortgage Applications (%, SA) | 04/01/22 | 03/25/22 | 03/18/22 | Y/Y | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total Market Index | -6.3 | -6.8 | -8.1 | -42.5 | -8.0 | 63.0 | 32.4 |
Purchase | -3.4 | 0.6 | -1.5 | -9.0 | -2.3 | 11.4 | 6.6 |
Refinancing | -9.9 | -14.9 | -14.4 | -62.0 | -10.7 | 111.0 | 71.1 |
30-Year Effective Mortgage Interest Rate (%) | 5.06 | 4.96 | 4.68 | 3.34
(Apr. '21) | 3.25 | 3.40 | 4.34 |