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Economy in Brief
UK Consumer Sentiment Hits Lowest Reading since 1996
(when the GFK survey began; also lowest reading 'ever')
Of these 13 readings eight of them declined on the month in May three of them improved and two of them were unchanged...
U.S. Existing Home Sales Continue to Fall in April as Houses Become Less Affordable
The combination of soaring home prices across the nation and rising interest rates is making homes less affordable...
U.S. Index of Leading Indicators Fell in April
Five of the index's components fell in April, one was unchanged and four increased...
U.S. Unemployment Claims Rose in the Latest Week
The state insured rates of unemployment in regular programs vary widely...
CBI Gauge in the UK Continues to Be Upbeat
The global economy has a lot of challenges...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
Profits and Margins Plunge In Q1: Expect More Margin Contraction As Fed Squeezes Inflation
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation and Fed Policy: A Relationship which Should Worry the Fed and Scare Investors
Why Have the Yields on TIPS Been Negative in the Past Two Years?
by Tom Moeller January 26, 2022
• Sales are highest since March.
• Strengthening is pronounced in Midwest & South.
• Median sales price declines sharply.
New single-family home sales rose 11.9% (-14.0% y/y) in December to 811,000 (AR) from 725,000 in November, revised from 744,000. During all of 2021, sales fell to 765,000 from 828,000 in 2020. December sales remained below the January 2021 peak of 993,000. The Action Economics Forecast Survey expected 763,000 sales in December.
By region, December sales in the Midwest rose 56.4% (-23.2% y/y) to 86,000 after falling 16.7% in November. In the South, sales rose 14.9% (-17.5% y/y) to 456,000 following a 1.5% November gain. In the West, sales edged 0.4% higher (2.1% y/y) to 242,000 following a 47.9% November surge. Falling by 15.6% (-34.1% y/y) to 27,000 were sales in the Northeast after they rose 10.3% in November.
The median price of a new home declined 9.2% (+3.4% y/y) in December to $377,700. It was the lowest price in six months. The average sales price of a new home fell 4.6% (+13.8% y/y) to $457,300. These sales price data are not seasonally adjusted.
The supply of new homes for sale fell to 6.0 months in December from 6.6 months in November. This compares with 3.8 months in December 2020. The median number of months a new home stayed on the market eased to 2.8 from 2.9 months in November. The record low was October's 2.5 months. These figures date back to January 1975.
New home sales activity and prices are available in Haver's USECON database. The consensus expectation figure from Action Economics is available in the AS1REPNA database.
U.S. New Single-Family Home Sales (SAAR, 000s) | Dec | Nov | Oct | Y/Y % | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total | 811 | 725 | 649 | -14.0 | 765 | 828 | 683 |
Northeast | 27 | 32 | 29 | -34.1 | 35 | 37 | 30 |
Midwest | 86 | 55 | 66 | -23.2 | 85 | 94 | 72 |
South | 456 | 397 | 391 | -17.5 | 448 | 476 | 399 |
West | 242 | 241 | 163 | 2.1 | 197 | 221 | 182 |
Median Price (NSA, $) | 377,700 | 416,100 | 421,500 | 3.4 | 392,900 | 336,900 | 321,500 |