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Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
by Carol Stone, CBE January 14, 2022
• Mortgage payments rose again due to higher home prices.
• Family income edged up 0.2% in November.
• Mortgage rates were unchanged in latest month.
The National Association of Realtors' Fixed Rate Mortgage Housing Affordability Index fell 0.7% in November (-12.4% y/y) to 147.8; that followed a decrease of 1.9% in October, revised from 2.3% reported initially. Affordability has fallen 21.3% since its recent high of 187.8 in January 2021. The Housing Affordability Index equals 100 when median family income equals the amount required for an 80% mortgage on a median priced existing single-family home.
In November, the median sales price of a home rose 0.9% (14.9% y/y) to $362,600, following a 0.4% increase in October to $359,800. Mortgage rates were unchanged in November from October at 3.12%, according to this National Association of Realtors rate measure. The resulting monthly mortgage payment for a house at that price and interest rate was $1,242, up 0.9% from the payment calculated for October of $1,231 for a home purchased at October's price and designated mortgage rate.
Median family income in November was $88,137, up 0.2% (+4.7% y/y) from October's income of $87,941, which was up 0.7% in the month. Consequently, the standard mortgage payment as a percent of income was 16.9%, up from 16.8% in October and the highest since June's 17.1%.
Data on Housing Affordability can be found in Haver's REALTOR database. Median home sale prices are also located in USECON. Higher frequency interest rate data can be found in SURVEYW, WEEKLY, and DAILY.
Housing Affordability | Nov | Oct | Sep | Y/Y % | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fixed Rate Mortgage Housing Affordability Index (100+=More Affordable) | 147.8 | 148.8 | 151.7 | -12.4 | 172.3 | 161.3 | 147.9 |
Payment as a Percent of Income | 16.9 | 16.8 | 16.5 | 14.8 | 14.5 | 15.5 | 17.0 |
Principal and Interest Payment ($) | 1,242 | 1,231 | 1,199 | 19.4 | 1,028 | 1,044 | 1,079 |
Monthly Mortgage Rate (%) | 3.12 | 3.12 | 2.95 | 2.82 | 3.17 | 4.04 | 4.72 |
Median Family Income ($) | 88,137 | 87,941 | 87,300 | 4.7 | 84,969 | 80,808 | 76,401 |
Median Sales Price (Existing Single-Family Home, $) | 362,600 | 359,500 | 357,900 | 14.9 | 298,708 | 272,333 | 259,458 |