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Economy in Brief
U.S. Mortgage Applications Continued to Rise, but only Slightly
The Mortgage Bankers Association reported that mortgage applications edged up 0.7% w/w...
U.S. Consumer Confidence Deteriorates Further in June
The Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index weakened 4.4% (-23.4% y/y) in June...
U.S. FHFA House Prices Continued to Rise in April
The FHFA House Price Index increased 1.6% during April...
U.S. Advance Trade Deficit Narrowed Slightly in May
The advance estimate of the U.S. international trade deficit in goods narrowed to $104.3 billion in May...
U.S. Energy Prices Decline
The AAA retail price of gasoline fell seven cents to $4.94 per gallon (+60.4% y/y) in the week ended June 24...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
by Sandy Batten December 23, 2020
• Mortgage applications rose only marginally.
• Decline in purchase applications offset by increase in refinancing.
• Mortgage interest rates mostly lower.
The Mortgage Bankers Association Mortgage Loan Applications Index edged up 0.8% w/w (+80.5% y/y) in the week ended December 18, on top of a 1.1% weekly gain in the previous week. A 3.8% w/w rise in refinancing applications more than offset a 4.6% w/w decline in applications for purchase.
The effective interest rate on a 30-year mortgage was unchanged at a record low 2.95% while the 15-year rate dropped six basis points to a new survey low of 2.50%. These surveys began in January 1990. The effective rate for a Jumbo mortgage fell three basis points to 3.19%, regaining its record low first reached in the week of November 13. The rate on a five-year ARM jumped up 18 basis points to 2.89%.
The average mortgage loan size increased to $327,100 from $320,600 in the previous week. The average size of a purchase loan rose to $376,800, a new record high, from $374,700. The average size of a refinanced loan increased to $310,400 from $300,300.
Applications for fixed-rate loans increased 0.7% w/w (+84.6% y/y) and applications for adjustable-rate mortgages jumped 6.7% w/w (-16.4% y/y).
This survey covers over 75% of all U.S. retail residential mortgage applications and has been conducted weekly since 1990. Respondents include mortgage bankers, commercial banks and thrifts. The base period and value for all indexes is March 16, 1990=100. The figures for weekly mortgage applications and interest rates are available in Haver's SURVEYW database.
MBA Mortgage Applications (%, SA) | 12/18/20 | 12/11/20 | 12/04/20 | Y/Y | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total Market Index | 0.8 | 1.1 | -1.2 | 80.5 | 32.4 | -10.4 | -17.8 |
Purchase | -4.6 | 1.8 | -5.0 | 26.5 | 6.6 | 2.1 | 5.6 |
Refinancing | 3.8 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 124.3 | 71.1 | -24.3 | -34.0 |
30-Year Effective Mortgage Interest Rate (%) | 2.95 | 2.95 | 3.00 | 4.07
(Dec '19) |
4.34 | 4.94 | 4.32 |