Recent Updates
- China: GDP (Q1)
- Euro area: CSPP Holdings Detail (Q1)
- US: Consumer Sentiment (Apr-prelim), New Residential Constr (Mar)
- Hong Kong: Personal Bankruptcy Petitions, Clearing
- more updates...
Economy in Brief
U.S. Housing Affordability Fell Back in February, but Still in Recent Range
The NAR U.S. Fixed Rate Mortgage Housing Affordability Index decreased 7.6% (-1.4% y/y) in February to 173.1...
European New Car Registrations Remarkably Strong Yet Forgettable
Car registrations are not going to be the only statistic that bears these dual and seemingly dueling characteristics...
U.S. Retail Sales Soar in March
Total retail sales including food service and drinking establishments increased 9.8% (27.7% y/y) during March...
U.S. Industrial Production Rebounded in March
Industrial production rebounded in March, rising 1.4% m/m (+1.0% y/y)...
U.S. Home Builder Index Edges Higher in April
The NAHB-Wells Fargo Composite Housing Market Index rose 1.2% to 83 during April...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
by Sandy Batten November 25, 2020
• Mortgage applications rebound following two weeks of decline.
• Applications for both purchase and refinancing post marked increases.
• Fixed mortgage rates fall to new all-time lows.
The Mortgage Bankers Association Mortgage Loan Applications Index rebounded in the week ended November 20, rising 3.9% w/w (+53.1% y/y) following two consecutive weekly declines. Purchase applications rose 3.5% w/w (+17.8 y/y), the same increase as in the previous week. Applications to refinance a loan jumped up 4.5% w/w (+78.7% y/y), more than offsetting their 1.8% decline the previous week. The refinancing share of total applications rose to 71.1% from 69.8% the previous week. Adjustable rate mortgages' share of the total number of applications was unchanged at 1.9%.
Interest rates generally fell this past week with the 30-year fixed rate mortgage rate falling seven basis points to 3.02%, a new all-time low. The rate on 15-year loans declined eight basis points to 2.60%, also a new all-time low. These series began in January 1990. The effective rate for a Jumbo mortgage rose to 3.26% from a record low 3.19% in the previous week. The rate on the 5-year adjustable rate mortgage plunged 24 basis points to 2.79%, its lowest level since May 2013.
The average mortgage loan size rose 1.2% w/w to $318,300 (+1.6% y/y) in the week ended November 20. The average size of a purchase loan increased 1.4% to $374,100 (+12.9% y/y), a new record high. The average loan size to refinance gained 1.5% to $295,600 (-2.2% y/y).
Applications for fixed-rate loans rose 3.9% w/w (+57.8% y/y) and applications for adjustable-rate mortgages increased 3.4% w/w (-39.9% y/y).
The survey covers over 75% of all U.S. retail residential mortgage applications and has been conducted weekly since 1990. Respondents include mortgage bankers, commercial banks and thrifts. The base period and value for all indexes is March 16, 1990=100. The figures for weekly mortgage applications and interest rates are available in Haver's SURVEYW database.
MBA Mortgage Applications (%, SA) | 11/20/20 | 11/13/20 | 11/06/20 | Y/Y | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total Market Index | 3.9 | -0.3 | -0.5 | 53.1 | 32.4 | -10.4 | -17.8 |
Purchase | 3.5 | 3.5 | -2.6 | 17.8 | 6.6 | 2.1 | 5.6 |
Refinancing | 4.5 | -1.8 | 0.6 | 78.7 | 71.1 | -24.3 | -34.0 |
30-Year Effective Mortgage Interest Rate (%) | 3.02 | 3.09 | 3.08 | 4.08
(Nov '19) |
4.34 | 4.94 | 4.32 |