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Economy in Brief
U.S. Mortgage Applications Continued to Rise, but only Slightly
The Mortgage Bankers Association reported that mortgage applications edged up 0.7% w/w...
Globally Money Supply Slows or Contracts in Real Terms
Money supply trends show that slowing is widespread across the major monetary center countries...
U.S. Consumer Confidence Deteriorates Further in June
The Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index weakened 4.4% (-23.4% y/y) in June...
U.S. FHFA House Prices Continued to Rise in April
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Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
by Sandy Batten September 16, 2020
• Applications for both purchase and refinancings declined.
• Mortgage rates edged down to record lows.
The Mortgage Bankers Association Mortgage Loan Applications Index decreased 2.5% w/w (+33.0% y/y) in the week ended September 11, the fourth weekly decline in the past five weeks. Applications had risen 2.9% w/w in the previous week. Applications for purchase loans slipped 0.5% w/w (+17.2% y/y) last week after having increased 2.6% w/w in the previous week. Refinancing applications slumped 3.7% w/w (+44.6% y/y), more than reversing the 3.0% w/w rise in the previous week. The refinance share of mortgage activity decreased to 62.8% of total applications from 63.1% the previous week. The adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM) share of activity increased to 2.3% of total applications.
The 30-year fixed rate interest rate eased one basis point to 3.16%, returning to its record low reached in the week of August 7. The rate on 15-year loans fell one basis point to another record low of 2.70%. The effective rate for a Jumbo mortgage loan fell (again by one basis point) to 3.48%, also a record low for this series which began in 2011. The rate on the 5-year adjustable rate mortgage jumped up to 3.41%, the highest rate since April 10, from 3.20% the previous week
The average mortgage loan size rose 0.7% w/w to $325,500. The average size of a purchase loan increased 0.4% to $370,200, a record high for this survey, and the average loan size to refinance gained 0.8% to $299,000.
Applications for fixed-rate loans fell 2.5% w/w (+36.8% y/y) and applications for adjustable rate mortgages declined 0.9% w/w (-39.7% y/y).
The survey covers over 75% of all U.S. retail residential mortgage applications and has been conducted weekly since 1990. Respondents include mortgage bankers, commercial banks and thrifts. The base period and value for all indexes is March 16, 1990=100. The figures for weekly mortgage applications and interest rates are available in Haver's SURVEYW database.
MBA Mortgage Applications (%, SA) | 09/11/20 | 09/04/20 | 08/28/20 | Y/Y | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total Market Index | -2.5 | 2.9 | -2.0 | 33.0 | 32.4 | -10.4 | -17.8 |
Purchase | -0.5 | 2.6 | -0.2 | 17.2 | 6.6 | 2.1 | 5.6 |
Refinancing | -3.7 | 3.0 | -3.1 | 44.6 | 71.1 | -24.3 | -34.0 |
30-Year Effective Mortgage Interest Rate (%) | 3.16 | 3.17 | 3.19 | 4.08 (Sep '19) |
4.34 | 4.94 | 4.32 |