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Economy in Brief
U.S. Mortgage Applications Continued to Rise, but only Slightly
The Mortgage Bankers Association reported that mortgage applications edged up 0.7% w/w...
Globally Money Supply Slows or Contracts in Real Terms
Money supply trends show that slowing is widespread across the major monetary center countries...
U.S. Consumer Confidence Deteriorates Further in June
The Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index weakened 4.4% (-23.4% y/y) in June...
U.S. FHFA House Prices Continued to Rise in April
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Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
by Tom Moeller June 24, 2020
• Loan applications for purchase ease.
• Refinancing declines.
• 15-year fixed-rate mortgage remains near seven-year low.
The Mortgage Bankers Association reported that its total Mortgage Applications Index backpedaled by 8.7% (+48.0% y/y) during the week ending June 19 after rising 8.0% in the prior week. Applications to purchase a home fell 3.0% (+18.1% y/y) following a 3.5% rise. Applications to refinance a loan declined 11.7% (+76.2% y/y), reversing the 10.3% gain during the prior week.
The effective interest rate on a 15-year fixed-rate mortgage edged higher to 2.89%. Thirty-year fixed rates rose to 3.39% while 30-year jumbo rates fell to 3.70%. Five-year adjustable rates worked lower to 3.09%.
The average mortgage loan size rose to $326,300 (-5.4% y/y) but remained below the early-March high of $367,900. For purchases, the average loan size increased to $359,200 (11.0% y/y) while refinancing loans eased to $305,500 (-16.3% y/y).
Applications for fixed-rate loans increased 54.5% y/y, while adjustable rate mortgages fell 29.3% y/y.
The survey covers over 75% of all U.S. retail residential mortgage applications and has been conducted weekly since 1990. Respondents include mortgage bankers, commercial banks and thrifts. The base period and value for all indexes is March 16, 1990=100. The figures for weekly mortgage applications and interest rates are available in Haver's SURVEYW database.
MBA Mortgage Applications (%, SA) | 06/19/20 | 06/12/20 | 06/05/20 | Y/Y | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total Market Index | -8.7 | 8.0 | 9.3 | 48.0 | 32.4 | -10.4 | -17.8 |
Purchase | -3.0 | 3.5 | 5.3 | 18.1 | 6.6 | 2.1 | 5.6 |
Refinancing | -11.7 | 10.3 | 11.4 | 76.2 | 71.1 | -24.3 | -34.0 |
15-Year Effective Mortgage Interest Rate (%) | 2.89 | 2.87 | 2.89 |
3.54 |
3.71 | 4.35 | 3.59 |