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Economy in Brief
U.S. Construction Spending Unexpectedly Dips in May After Seven Straight Monthly Rises
The value of construction put-in-place ticked down 0.1% m/m (+9.7% y/y) in May...
Developed Economies Manufacturing Sectors Hit Hard in June
Among the 18 countries in the table that report manufacturing PMI data in June, only four show m/m improvements...
U.S. Income Gained, Spending Slowed in May
Personal income growth remained solid while household spending slowed in May...
U.S. Chicago Business Barometer Falls Back in June to the Lowest Level since Aug. '20
The ISM-Chicago Purchasing Managers Business Barometer fell to 56.0...
U.S. Unemployment Claims Edged Down
Initial claims for unemployment insurance filed in the week ended June 25 declined by 2,000 to 231,000...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
by Tom Moeller June 23, 2020
• New single-family home sales rose last month following three consecutive months of decline.
• Sales improved in most parts of the country.
• Prices increase modestly m/m.
Sales of new single-family homes increased 16.6% during May (12.7% y/y) to 676,000 (SAAR) after falling 5.2% in April to 580,000, revised from 623,000. Sales during March plummeted to 14.5% to 612,000, revised from 619,000. May sales were 12.7% below the expansion peak of 774,000 reached in January. The Action Economics Forecast Survey expected sales of 634,000 during May.
Sales in the Northeast rose 45.5% both m/m and y/y to 32,000. In the South, sales increased 15.2% to 402,000 (6.3% y/y) and in the West sales improved 29.0% to 169,000 (31.0% y//y). Sales were down, however, by one-third versus the January peak. Running counter to these gains, Midwest sales fell 6.4% (+2.8% y/y) and were 24.7% below the January peak.
The median price of a new home increased to 4.9% to $317,900 in May (1.7% y/y) while the average price of a new home improved 4.7% (-2.7% y/y) to $368,800. Home prices, which are not seasonally adjusted, have been range-bound for the past few years.
The months' supply of homes on the market declined to 5.6 in May from an elevated 6.7 months in April. The median number of months a new home stayed on the market was 3.8, the longest since April 2018 and up from 2.7 months in October 2018.
New home sales activity and prices are available in Haver's USECON database, while MBA loan applications can be found in SURVEYW. The consensus expectation figure from Action Economics is available in the AS1REPNA database.
U.S. New Single-Family Home Sales (SAAR, 000s) | May | Apr | Mar | May Y/Y % | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total | 676 | 580 | 612 | 12.7 | 685 | 614 | 616 |
Northeast | 32 | 22 | 23 | 45.5 | 30 | 32 | 40 |
Midwest | 73 | 78 | 77 | 2.8 | 72 | 75 | 72 |
South | 402 | 349 | 365 | 6.3 | 400 | 347 | 341 |
West | 169 | 131 | 147 | 31.0 | 183 | 160 | 164 |
Median Price (NSA, $) | 317,900 | 303,000 | 331,800 | 1.7 | 319,267 | 323,125 | 321,633 |