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Economy in Brief
U.S. ISM Services Index Weakens in February
The ISM Composite Index of Services Activity declined to 55.3 during February...
U.S. Mortgage Applications Edge Up
The MBA Mortgage Loan Applications Index edged up 0.5% w/w (5.4% y/y) in the week ended February 26...
U.S. Light Vehicle Sales Weaken in February
Sales of light vehicles declined 5.6% during February (-6.7% y/y) to 15.88 million units...
U.S. Gasoline & Crude Oil Prices Continue to Strengthen
The price of regular gasoline strengthened to $2.71 per gallon (11.9% y/y) in the week ended March 1...
Post Covid-19 Turbulence Rocks and Weakens German Retail Sales
German and other European retail sales have been put through a sort of test of fire in the wake of the covid-19 virus arrival...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
by Tom Moeller June 17, 2020
• Loan applications for purchase surge.
• Refinancing strength continues.
• 15-year fixed rate mortgage declines to seven-year low of 2.87%.
The Mortgage Bankers Association reported that its total Mortgage Applications Index rose 8.0% (65.5% y/y) during the week ending June 12. Applications to purchase a home increased 3.5% (20.1% y/y) while refinance activity jumped 10.3% (106.0% y/y).
The effective interest rate on a 15-year fixed-rate mortgage eased to 2.87%. Thirty-year fixed rates declined to 3.38% while 30-year jumbo rates slipped to 3.75%. Five-year adjustable rates edged higher to 3.18%.
The average mortgage loan size rose to $325,500 (-3.6% y/y), still below the early-March high of $367,900. For purchases, the average loan size increased to $354,000 (7.7% y/y) while refinancing loans rose to $308,900 (-10.8% y/y).
Applications for fixed-rate loans increased 71.2% y/y, while adjustable rate mortgages fell 23.1% y/y.
The survey covers over 75% of all U.S. retail residential mortgage applications and has been conducted weekly since 1990. Respondents include mortgage bankers, commercial banks and thrifts. The base period and value for all indexes is March 16, 1990=100. The figures for weekly mortgage applications and interest rates are available in Haver's SURVEYW database.
MBA Mortgage Applications (%, SA) | 06/12/20 | 06/05/20 | 05/29/20 | Y/Y | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total Market Index | 8.0 | 9.3 | -3.9 | 65.5 | 32.4 | -10.4 | -17.8 |
Purchase | 3.5 | 5.3 | 5.3 | 20.1 | 6.6 | 2.1 | 5.6 |
Refinancing | 10.3 | 11.4 | -8.6 | 106.0 | 71.1 | -24.3 | -34.0 |
15-Year Effective Mortgage Interest Rate (%) | 2.87 | 2.89 | 2.92 |
3.54 |
3.71 | 4.35 | 3.59 |