Recent Updates
- US: International Trade (May)
- NY Fed Global Supply Chain Pressure Index (Jun)
- Pakistan: Consumer Confidence Survey (Jul)
- Vietnam: Customs Trade (Jun)
- Pakistan: Business Confidence Survey (Jun)
- more updates...
Economy in Brief
U.S. ISM Services PMI Falls in June to the Lowest Level since May '20
The U.S. ISM Services PMI fell to 55.3 in June...
May JOLTS: Openings, Hiring Slipped, Separations Edged Up
Job openings fell 427,000 in May to 11.254 million...
Euro Area Retail Sales Remain Weak
The graph shows the clear trend of euro area retail sales...
U.S. Factory Orders Rise More Than Expected in May
Total factory orders rose 1.6% m/m (14.0% y/y) in May...
Composite PMIs Step Back But Most Still Show Expansion
The S&P global composite PMIs took a turn for the worse in June...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
by Tom Moeller June 2, 2020
• Car & light truck sales both rise.
• Sales remain 28.6% below the February level.
• Fewer vehicle sales have been meaningful drag on economic growth.
The Autodata Corporation reported that sales of light vehicles strengthened 41.5% last month (-30.3% y/y) to 12.17 million units (SAAR) from 8.60 million in April.
So far in Q2'20, sales have averaged 10.4 million, down 31.6% from an average 15.2 million in Q1. The 10.2% sales decline from 16.88 million in Q4'19 subtracted 0.82 percentage points from growth in real GDP.
Sales of light trucks improved 43.6% (-24.8% y/y) to 9.46 million units. Purchases of domestically-made light trucks rose 37.5% (-28.2% y/y) to 7.19 million units. Sales of imported light trucks strengthened 67.6% (-11.3% y/y) to 2.28 million units.
Trucks' share of the U.S. light vehicle market reached a record 77.7%, up from a low of 48.8% during all of 2012.
Auto sales increased 34.8% (-44.5% y/y) to 2.71 million units and remained below a peak level of 7.71 million unit sales reached in 2014. Purchases of domestically-produced cars rose 25.0% (-47.7% y/y) to 1.85 million units. Sales of imported cars rebounded by nearly two-thirds m/m (-35.1% y/y) to 0.87 million units.
Imports' share of the U.S. vehicle market rose last month to 25.8%. Imports' share of the passenger car market jumped to 32.1%. Imports share of the light truck market improved to 24.1% and remained up from the 12.0% low in January 2015.
U.S. vehicle sales figures can be found in Haver's USECON database. Additional detail by manufacturer is in the INDUSTRY database.
Interim Economic Projections for 2020 and 2021 from the Congressional Budget Office can be found here.
Light Weight Vehicle Sales (SAAR, Million Units) | May | Apr | Mar | May Y/Y % | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total | 12.17 | 8.60 | 11.33 | -30.3 | 16.99 | 17.27 | 17.23 |
Autos | 2.71 | 2.01 | 2.93 | -44.5 | 4.80 | 5.36 | 6.16 |
Domestic | 1.85 | 1.48 | 2.16 | -47.7 | 3.52 | 4.00 | 4.58 |
Imported | 0.87 | 0.53 | 0.78 | -35.1 | 1.28 | 1.36 | 1.59 |
Light Trucks | 9.46 | 6.59 | 8.40 | -24.8 | 12.18 | 11.92 | 11.07 |
Domestic | 7.19 | 5.23 | 6.82 | -28.2 | 9.65 | 9.44 | 9.00 |
Imported | 2.28 | 1.36 | 1.58 | -11.3 | 2.53 | 2.48 | 2.07 |