Recent Updates
- Mexico: Advanced Auto Sales (Feb)
- Ireland: Unemployment (Feb)
- Euro area: PPI (Jan)
- Iraq: Public Internal Debt (Jan-Prelim)
- Italy: Final GDP (Q4)
- more updates...
Economy in Brief
U.S. Gasoline & Crude Oil Prices Continue to Strengthen
The price of regular gasoline strengthened to $2.71 per gallon (11.9% y/y) in the week ended March 1...
Post Covid-19 Turbulence Rocks and Weakens German Retail Sales
German and other European retail sales have been put through a sort of test of fire in the wake of the covid-19 virus arrival...
ISM Manufacturing Index Improves in February as Prices Continue to Strengthen
Factory sector activity recovered last month following moderate weakening in January...
NABE Projects Firm Growth in 2022, as in 2021
The NABE expects 4.0% real GDP growth in 2022 following a 4.8% rise during 2021...
U.S. Construction Spending Strengthens Again in January
Building activity continues to strengthen...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
by Sandy Batten March 5, 2020
Initial claims for unemployment insurance fell 3,000 to 216,000 (-0.9% y/y) in the week ended February 29 from an unrevised 219,000 in the prior week. The February 29 result was slightly lower than the Action Economics Forecast Survey at 220,000. The four-week moving average of initial claims was 213,000, up from 209,750 the previous week.
Continuing claims for unemployment insurance in the week ended February 22 rose to 1.729 million (-1.1% y/y) from a downwardly revised 1.722 million (initially 1.724 million) the previous week. The four-week moving average of claimants fell 7,500 to 1.721 million.
The insured rate of unemployment held steady at 1.2% in the week ended February 22, where it has been since mid-November. Except for a few weeks last fall when the rate dipped to 1.1%, it has been 1.2% since May 2018. The 1.1% rate was the lowest in the history of the series dating back to 1971.
Insured unemployment rates vary widely by state. The state data are not seasonally adjusted. During the week ended February 15, the lowest rates were in Florida (0.39%), North Carolina (0.49%), and Nebraska, New Hampshire and Virginia (0.60%). The highest rates were in Montana (2.49%), Connecticut (2.52%), West Virginia (2.59%), New Jersey (2.72%) and Alaska (2.88%). Among the other largest states by population, the rate was 1.04% in Texas, 1.74% in New York, 2.02% in California and 2.22% in Illinois.
Data on weekly unemployment claims dating back to 1967 are contained in Haver's WEEKLY database, and they are summarized monthly in USECON. Data for individual states are in REGIONW. The expectations figure is from the Action Economics Forecast Survey, carried in the AS1REPNA database.
Unemployment Insurance (SA, 000s) | 02/29/20 | 02/22/20 | 02/15/20 | Y/Y % | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Initial Claims | 216 | 219 | 211 | -0.9 | 218 | 220 | 244 |
Continuing Claims | -- | 1,729 | 1,722 | -1.1 | 1,701 | 1,756 | 1,961 |
Insured Unemployment Rate (%) | -- | 1.2 | 1.2 |
1.2 |
1.2 | 1.2 | 1.4 |