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Economy in Brief
Empire State Manufacturing Index Declines in January
The Empire State Manufacturing Index of General Business Conditions decreased to 3.5 in January...
U.S. Industrial Production Continues Recovery
Industrial production advanced 1.6% in December...
U.S. PPI Rose 0.3% in December
The Producer Price Index for final demand rose 0.3% (0.8% y/y) in December...
U.S. Business Inventories Accumulate during November as Sales Weaken
Total business inventories increased 0.5% during November (-3.2% y/y)...
The EMU Trade Surplus Stabilizes
Both exports and imports have been regaining momentum...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
by Carol Stone, CBE February 13, 2020
Initial claims for unemployment insurance rose 2,000 to 205,000 (-11.3% y/y) during the week ended February 8 from 203,000 in the prior week, revised from 202,000. The Action Economics Forecast Survey expected 210,000 initial claims. The four-week moving average of initial claims was steady at 212,000, the lowest since late July 2019.
Continuing claims for unemployment insurance in the week ended February 1 dropped to 1.698 million (-2.7% y/y) from 1.759 million, which was revised from 1.751 million. The four-week moving average of claimants fell to 1.727 million, its lowest level in six weeks.
The insured rate of unemployment held steady at 1.2%, where it has been since mid-November.
Insured unemployment rates vary widely by state. During the week ending January 25, the lowest rates were in Florida (0.42%), North Carolina (0.51%), Virginia (0.60%), Nebraska (0.61%) and New Hampshire (0.62%). The highest rates were in Connecticut (2.52%), West Virginia (2.52%), Montana (2.54%), New Jersey (2.74%) and Alaska (3.12%). Among the other largest states by population, the rate was 1.15% in Texas, 1.77% in New York, 2.25% in California and 2.42% in Illinois. These state data are not seasonally adjusted.
Data on weekly unemployment claims dating back to 1967 are contained in Haver's WEEKLY database, and they are summarized monthly in USECON. Data for individual states are in REGIONW. The expectations figure is from the Action Economics Forecast Survey, carried in the AS1REPNA database.
Unemployment Insurance (SA, 000s) | 02/08/20 | 02/01/20 | 01/25/20 | Y/Y % | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Initial Claims | 205 | 203 | 217 | -11.3 | 218 | 220 | 244 |
Continuing Claims | -- | 1,698 | 1,759 | -2.7 | 1,701 | 1,756 | 1,961 |
Insured Unemployment Rate (%) | -- | 1.2 | 1.2 |
1.2 |
1.2 | 1.2 | 1.4 |