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Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
by Sandy Batten January 17, 2020
The National Association of Realtors reported that its Fixed Rate Mortgage Housing Affordability Index edged up 0.3% m/m (13.9% y/y) to 163.8 in November from 163.3 in October. This was the fifth monthly increase in the past six months and the second highest reading since January 2018 (the highest being 164.8 in September). Though the index has generally been improving since mid-2018, it remains well below its all-time high of 213.3 reached in January 2013.
In November, monthly principal and interest payments edged up to $1,015 from $1,013 in October but remained at 15.3% of income. The median sales price was little changed in November after having falling in each of the previous four months. Median family income continued to increase, rising to $79,824 in November to be 3.7% higher than a year ago. The effective mortgage interest rate edged up one basis point to 3.75% in November, but remains well below the 4.99% recorded in November a year ago.
The Housing Affordability Index equals 100 when median family income qualifies for an 80% mortgage on a median-priced existing single-family home. A rising index indicates an increasing number of buyers can qualify for a mortgage to purchase the median-priced home. Data on Home Affordability can be found in Haver's REALTOR database. Interest rate data can be found in the WEEKLY and DAILY databases.
Housing Affordability | Nov | Oct | Sep | Nov Y/Y | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fixed Rate Housing Affordability Index | 163.8 | 163.3 | 164.8 | 13.9% | 147.8 | 159.1 | 167.7 |
Payment as a Percent of Income | 15.3 | 15.3 | 15.2 | 17.4 | 17.0 | 15.7 | 14.9 |
Principal and Interest Payment | $1,015 | $1,013 | $1,004 | $1,115 | $1,079 | $967 | $880 |
Median Sales Price (Existing Single Family Home) | $274,000 | $273,800 | $274,400 | $259,900 | $259,458 | $247,508 | $233,642 |
Monthly Fixed Mortgage Rate | 3.75% | 3.74% | 3.65% | 4.99% | 4.72% | 4.20% | 3.88% |
Median Family Income | $79,824 | $79,425 | $79,422 | $76,968 | $76,322 | $73,891 | $71,062 |