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Economy in Brief
U.S. FHFA House Prices Continued to Rise in April
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U.S. Energy Prices Decline
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French Consumer Worries Intensify in the Wake of Russia Attack
French confidence is weak in June 2022...
U.S. Durable Goods Orders Firm in May
Manufacturers' new orders for durable goods exhibited unexpected improvement in May...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
by Carol Stone, CBE January 16, 2020
Initial claims for unemployment insurance decreased 10,000 to 204,000 (-6.0% y/y) in the week ended January 11 from 214,000 in the prior week, which was unrevised. It was the fifth straight weekly decline. The Action Economics Forecast Survey expected 215,000 initial claims. The four-week moving average of initial claims declined to 216,250 from 224,000.
Continuing claims for unemployment insurance in the week ended January 4 declined 37,000 to 1.767 million (+3.0% y/y) from the prior week's 1.804 million, which was revised modestly from 1.803 million. The four-week moving average of claimants rose to 1.756 million, the highest level since mid-March.
The insured rate of unemployment held at 1.2%, where it has been almost continuously since May 2018.
Insured unemployment rates continued to vary widely by state. During the week ending December 28, the lowest rates were in Florida (0.42%), North Carolina (0.48%), Nebraska (0.54%), Virginia (0.60%) and Arizona (0.63%). The highest rates were in Montana (2.44%), Rhode Island (2.57%), New Jersey (2.78%), Connecticut (2.81%) and Alaska (3.32%). Among the other largest states by population, the rate was 1.16% in Texas, 1.94% in New York and 2.09% in California. These state data are not seasonally adjusted.
Data on weekly unemployment claims dating back to 1967 are contained in Haver's WEEKLY database, and they are summarized monthly in USECON. Data for individual states are in REGIONW. The expectations figure is from the Action Economics Forecast Survey, carried in the AS1REPNA database.
Unemployment Insurance (SA, 000s) | 01/11/20 | 01/04/20 | 12/28/19 | Y/Y % | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Initial Claims | 204 | 214 | 223 | -6.0 | 218 | 220 | 244 |
Continuing Claims | -- | 1,767 | 1,804 | 3.0 | 1,700 | 1,756 | 1,961 |
Insured Unemployment Rate (%) | -- | 1.2 | 1.2 |
1.2 |
1.2 | 1.2 | 1.4 |