Recent Updates
- Global Supply Chain Pressure Index (Mar, Apr)
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- US: New Residential Construction (Apr)
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- more updates...
Economy in Brief
U.S. Industrial Production Much Stronger than Expected in April
The increase in manufacturing output in April was once again led by motor vehicle and parts production...
U.S. Retail Sales Posted Solid Rise in April
Notwithstanding falling real incomes and declining confidence measures, consumer spending posted a solid increase...
U.S. Home Builder Index Took a Steep Drop in May
This is the fifth straight month that builder sentiment has declined...
U.S. Empire State Manufacturing Index Declines in May
The Empire State Manufacturing Index of General Business Conditions dropped thirty-six points...
Surging Imports Send the EMU Trade Scene Deeper into Deficit
The trade balance for the Euro Area fell sharply to 17.5 billion euros in March...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
The Many Links of Inflation Cycle: Hard Landing Is Needed to Crack Them
Peak Inflation & Fed Policy: A Relationship Which Should Worry The Fed And Scare Investors
Why Have the Yields on TIPS Been Negative in the Past Two Years?
"Core" GDP Suggests Economy Gained Momentum in Q1:2022
by Tom Moeller January 9, 2020
The latest readings of labor market conditions were mixed. Initial claims for jobless insurance declined 9,000 to 214,000 (-3.2% y/y) in the week ended January 4 from 223,000 in the prior week, revised from 222,000. It was the fourth straight weekly decline. The Action Economics Forecast Survey expected 220,000 initial claims. The four-week moving average of initial claims declined to 224,000 from 233,500.
Continuing claims for unemployment insurance in the week ended December 28 increased 75,000 to 1.803 million (5.6% y/y) from the prior week's unrevised 1.728 million. The four-week moving average of claimants rose to 1.745 million, the highest level since late-March.
The insured rate of unemployment held at 1.2% where it has been for six weeks.
Insured unemployment rates continued to vary widely by state. During the week ending December 21, the lowest rates were in Florida (0.37%), Nebraska (0.39%), North Carolina (0.45%), Virginia (0.51%) and Tennessee (0.54%). The highest rates were in Montana (1.96%), Pennsylvania (2.03%), West Virginia (2.09%), New Jersey (2.23%), and Alaska (2.83%). Among the other largest states by population, the rate was 0.98% in Texas, 1.51% in New York and 1.75% in California. These state data are not seasonally adjusted.
Data on weekly unemployment claims dating back to 1967 are contained in Haver's WEEKLY database, and they are summarized monthly in USECON. Data for individual states are in REGIONW. The expectations figure is from the Action Economics Forecast Survey, carried in the AS1REPNA database.
The Economic Outlook and Monetary is the title of today's speech by Fed Vice Chair Richard H. Clarida and it is available here.
Unemployment Insurance (SA, 000s) | 01/04/20 | 12/28/19 | 12/21/19 | Y/Y % | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Initial Claims | 214 | 223 | 224 | -3.2 | 218 | 220 | 244 |
Continuing Claims | -- | 1,803 | 1,728 | 5.6 | 1,700 | 1,756 | 1,961 |
Insured Unemployment Rate (%) | -- | 1.2 | 1.2 |
1.2 |
1.2 | 1.2 | 1.4 |