Recent Updates
- US: Consumer Sentiment (Jan-prelim), Mfg & Trade Inventories & Sales (Nov), IP & Capacity Utilization, Adv Retail Sales, Producer Prices (Dec)
- US: Industrial Production Detail (Dec)
- US: Producer Price Indexes by Commodity Detail (Dec)
- more updates...
Economy in Brief
Empire State Manufacturing Index Declines in January
The Empire State Manufacturing Index of General Business Conditions decreased to 3.5 in January...
U.S. Industrial Production Continues Recovery
Industrial production advanced 1.6% in December...
U.S. PPI Rose 0.3% in December
The Producer Price Index for final demand rose 0.3% (0.8% y/y) in December...
U.S. Business Inventories Accumulate during November as Sales Weaken
Total business inventories increased 0.5% during November (-3.2% y/y)...
The EMU Trade Surplus Stabilizes
Both exports and imports have been regaining momentum...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
by Peter D'Antonio December 23, 2019
Sales of new single-family homes increased 1.3% m/m (+16.9% y/y) in November to 719,000 units SAAR. However, the November gain comes from levels that were revised sharply lower in both September and October. September sales were revised from 738,000 to 730,000 and October sales were revised from 733,000 to 710,000. The Action Economics survey had expected sales of 735,000 in November. So, even though sales increased in November, the marked downward revisions meant that November sales were well below expectations.
Although interpretation of this month's reading has been influenced by the downward revisions, there is no mistaking the surge in new home sales over the past year.
The median price of a new home rose 4.4% m/m (+7.2% y/y) to $330,800 in November. The median price is still 3.8% below the record high of $343,400 in November 2017. The average price of a new home increased 2.7% m/m (+5.7% y/y) to $388,200.
Sales were mixed across the country last month. In November, sales fell in the South, were unchanged in the Midwest and rose significantly in the Northeast and West. Sales in the South fell 4.1% m/m to 400,000 (the second consecutive monthly decline), but were still 14.0% above yearend 2018. Sales in the Northeast nearly reversed October's decline, rising 52.4%. Sales in the West posted a solid 7.5% m/m rise to 216,000, the second consecutive large monthly gain.
The months' supply of homes on the market edged down to 5.4 months in November from 5.5 months in October, remaining well below the recent high of 7.4 months reached in December 2018. The median number of months a new home was on the market after its completion declined to 3.1 months in November, its lowest in a year.
The data in this report are available in Haver's USECON database. The consensus expectation figure from Action Economics is available in the AS1REPNA database.
U.S. New Single-Family Home Sales (SAAR, 000s) | Nov | Oct | Sep | Nov Y/Y % | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total | 719 | 710 | 730 | 16.9 | 615 | 617 | 562 |
Northeast | 32 | 21 | 35 | 6.7 | 32 | 40 | 32 |
Midwest | 71 | 71 | 70 | -1.4 | 75 | 72 | 69 |
South | 400 | 417 | 441 | 9.0 | 348 | 341 | 318 |
West | 216 | 201 | 184 | 47.9 | 160 | 164 | 142 |
Median Price (NSA, $) | 330,800 | 316,900 | 312,100 | 7.2 | 323,125 | 321,633 | 306,500 |