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Economy in Brief
Decline in Refinancing Drag Down U.S. Mortgage Applications
The MBA Mortgage Loan Applications Index fell 1.9% w/w (+56.2% y/y) in the weekend January 15...
U.S. Energy Prices Continue to Rise
The price of regular gasoline rose to $2.38 per gallon (-6.2% y/y)...
Macro Expectations Hold to the High Ground
In January, the ZEW index paints a mixed and somewhat uneven view of its survey universe...
U.S. Housing Affordability Improves During November
The NAR reported that its Fixed Rate Mortgage Housing Affordability Index rose 0.7% (-0.7% y/y)...
U.S. Retail Sales Continue to Fall During December as COVID-19 Cases Increase
Total retail sales declined 0.7% (+2.9% y/y) during December...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
by Tom Moeller September 25, 2019
Sales of new single-family homes rose 7.1% (18.0% y/y) during August to 713,000 (SAAR) from 666,000 in July, revised from 635,000. Sales of 656,000 had been expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. These sales are recorded when contracts are signed or deposits are made.
The median price of a new home increased 7.5% (2.2% y/y) to $328,400 from $305,400 in July, revised from $312,800. Prices remained 4.4% below the record high of $343,400 in November 2017. The average price of a new home strengthened 8.5% (6.1% y/y) to $404,200.
Sales were mixed m/m across the regions of the country last month. New home sales in the West rebounded 16.5% (17.9% y/y) to 191,000 following a 15.9% decline. In the South, sales recovered 6.0% (24.9% y/y) to 426,000 after a 10.3% fall. Moving lower by 5.9% (0% y/y), were home sales in the Northeast to 32,000 following a 41.7% surge in July. In the Midwest, sales declined 3.0% (-7.2% y/y) to 64,000 after a 6.5% rise.
The months' supply of homes on the market fell slightly to 5.5 and remained well below the recent high of 7.4 months reached last December. The median number of months a new home was on the market after its completion eased to 3.2 but remained above the recent low of 2.7 last October.
The data in this report are available in Haver's USECON database. The consensus expectation figure from Action Economics is available in the AS1REPNA database.
U.S. New Single-Family Home Sales (SAAR, 000s) | Aug | July | June | Aug Y/Y % | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total | 713 | 666 | 729 | 18.0 | 615 | 617 | 562 |
Northeast | 32 | 34 | 24 | 0.0 | 32 | 40 | 32 |
Midwest | 64 | 66 | 62 | -7.2 | 75 | 72 | 69 |
South | 426 | 402 | 448 | 24.9 | 348 | 341 | 318 |
West | 191 | 164 | 195 | 17.9 | 160 | 164 | 142 |
Median Price (NSA, $) | 328,400 | 305,400 | 306,300 | 2.2 | 323,125 | 321,633 | 306,500 |