Recent Updates
- **EIA releases, including WPSR, are delayed by the source**
- US: New Residential Sales (May)
- Canada: Payroll Employment, Earnings, & Hours (Apr)
- Italy: Non-EU International Trade (May)
- Mexico: Economic Activity (Apr), Construction (Apr)
- more updates...
Economy in Brief
Italian Consumer Confidence Remains Hammered Down
Italy's consumer confidence fell month-to-month...
U.S. Current Account Deficit Deepens to Record in Q1'22
The U.S. current account deficit deepened to $291.4 billion during Q1'22...
Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Index Declines Further in June But Remains Positive
The Kansas City Fed reported that its manufacturing sector business activity index fell to 12 in June...
U.S. Unemployment Claims Edged Down
Initial claims for unemployment insurance filed in the week ended June 18 declined by 2,000 to 229,000...
U.S. Energy Prices Reverse Earlier Gains
Retail gasoline prices surged to $5.01 per gallon (63.1% y/y)...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
by Tom Moeller August 7, 2019
The Mortgage Bankers Association reported that its total Mortgage Applications Index rose 5.3% (46.5% y/y) during the week ending August 2 following five consecutive weeks of decline. Applications to refinance a loan firmed 11.8% and more-than doubled y/y, up 115.9%. Purchase applications were off 2.0% (+6.5% y/y), the fourth consecutive weekly decline.
The effective interest rate, which includes points, on a 15-year fixed-rate mortgage fell w/w to 3.47% from 3.55%. That compared to a high of 4.71% early in November 2018. The effective rate on a 30-year fixed-rate loan eased w/w to 4.11%, remaining below the November high of 5.33%. The effective rate on a 30-year Jumbo mortgage fell to 4.04%. It remained below the October peak of 5.09%. The rate on an adjustable 5-year mortgage dropped to 3.49%. It's recent high was 4.52% averaged last October.
The average mortgage loan size increased w/w to $321,600 (11.2% y/y), remaining below the record of $381,700 in late-March. For purchases, the average loan size fell to $318,300 (+3.3% y/y). The average loan size for refinancings increased to $324,500 (+22.9% y/y). These series date back to 1990.
Applications for fixed-rate loans rose by more than one-half y/y, while adjustable rate loan applications rose 10.5% y/y.
The survey covers over 75% of all U.S. retail residential mortgage applications and has been conducted weekly since 1990. Respondents include mortgage bankers, commercial banks and thrifts. The base period and value for all indexes is March 16, 1990=100. The figures for weekly mortgage applications and interest rates are available in Haver's SURVEYW database.
MBA Mortgage Applications (%, SA) | 8/2/2019 | 7/26/2019 | 7/19/2019 | Y/Y | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total Market Index | 5.3 | -1.4 | -1.9 | 46.5 | -10.4 | -17.8 | 15.6 |
Purchase | -2.0 | -3.0 | -1.6 | 6.5 | 2.1 | 5.6 | 13.3 |
Refinancing | 11.8 | 0.1 | -2.1 | 115.9 | -24.3 | -34.0 | 17.3 |
15-Year Mortgage Effective Interest Rate (%) | 3.47 | 3.55 | 3.50 | 4.37 (Aug '18) | 4.35 | 3.59 | 3.22 |