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- US: Advance Retail Sales (Sep)
- US: NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index, Atlanta Fed Business Inflation Expectations, Business Leaders Survey (Oct)
- Italy: CPI, HICP (Sep), Industrial Turnover & Orders Press (Aug)
- Canada: CPI (Sep), Intl Transactions in Securities (Aug)
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Economy in Brief
U.S. Home Builder Sentiment Posts Solid Gain, Led by South and West
The NAHB-Wells Fargo Composite Housing Market Index rose for the fourth consecutive month to 71 in October from 68 in September...
U.S. Business Inventories Hold Steady as Sales Rise
Total business inventories were unchanged during August (4.2% y/y)...
U.S. Gasoline Prices Fall
In the week ended October 14, the U.S. pump price for gasoline eased to $2.63 per gallon (-8.7% y/y)...
U.S. Mortgage Applications for Refinancing Rise While Those for Purchase Slip
The MBA Mortgage Loan Index edged up 0.5% w/w (81.8% y/y) in the week ending October 11...
The Grip of Weakness Or the Gripe of Slow Growth?
The Grip of Weakness Or the Gripe of Slow Growth?...
by Tom Moeller May 28, 2019
With waning strength in housing starts and home sales, pricing power in the housing market has moderated. The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) Price Index for house purchases rose 0.1% in March following a 0.4% gain during February, revised from 0.3%. It was the weakest m/m increase since January 2017, and it lowered y/y growth to 5.0%, down from the 7.6% high early in 2018.
Monthly increases in prices were strongest in the West North Central, Middle Atlantic and Mountain regions of the country.
Home price inflation was weak in during March in the West South Central and South Atlantic regions.
Declines in house prices occurred in several regions, including the East North Central, New England, East South Central and Pacific regions.
The FHFA house price index is a weighted purchase-only index that measures average price changes in repeat sales of the same property. The indexes are based on transactions involving conforming, conventional mortgages purchased or securitized by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac. Only mortgage transactions on single-family properties are included. The FHFA data are available in Haver's USECON database.
| FHFA U.S. House Price Index, Purchase Only (SA %) |
Mar | Feb | Jan | Mar Y/Y | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 5.0 | 6.7 | 6.6 | 6.0 |
| New England | -0.6 | 1.3 | -0.6 | 4.4 | 5.5 | 5.8 | 4.1 |
| Middle Atlantic | 0.8 | -0.9 | 0.8 | 3.0 | 5.5 | 4.9 | 3.6 |
| East North Central | -0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 5.1 | 6.5 | 6.0 | 5.3 |
| West North Central | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 5.8 | 6.2 | 5.4 | 5.6 |
| South Atlantic | 0.1 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 5.6 | 7.2 | 6.8 | 6.9 |
| East South Central | -0.4 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 6.2 | 6.3 | 5.8 | 5.0 |
| West South Central | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 4.4 | 5.4 | 6.5 | 5.7 |
| Mountain | 0.7 | -0.1 | 1.1 | 7.1 | 9.3 | 8.6 | 7.8 |
| Pacific | -0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 3.7 | 7.7 | 8.6 | 8.0 |
|
