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Economy in Brief
Chicago Business Barometer Declines Sharply in February
The ISM-Chicago Purchasing Managers Business Barometer fell 4.3 points in February to 59.5...
Goods Trade Deficit Widened Slightly in January
The advance estimate of the U.S. trade deficit in goods widened slightly to $83.74 billion in January..
Japan's Industrial Sector Mounts a Comeback
Japan's IP surged in January gaining 4.3% compared to December...
Aircraft Orders Boost U.S. Durable Goods Orders in January
Manufacturers' orders for durable goods increased a much larger-than-expected 3.4% m/m (4.5% y/y) in January...
Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Index Increases Again in February
The Kansas City Fed reported that its manufacturing sector business activity index rose to 24 in February...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
by Tom Moeller May 23, 2019
New home sales declined 6.9% (+7.0% y/y) during April to 673,000 (SAAR) from 723,000 in March, revised from 692,000. Despite the decline, sales were 20.8% higher than the recent low in October. Sales of 671,000 had been expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. These sales transactions are recorded when sales contracts are signed or deposits are made.
The median price of a new home rebounded 11.9% last month (8.8% y/y) to $342,200 after falling 3.3% to $305,800 during March. The April level was just below the record high of $343,400 logged during November 2017. The average price of a new home rose 5.7% (2.2% y/y to $393,700.
Sales declined in most regions of the country. Sales in the Midwest fell 7.4% last month (+3.6% y/y) to 87,000. New home sales in the West declined 8.3% (+16.8% y/y) to 188,000. In the South, sales were off 7.3% (+5.1% y/y) to 369,000. Increasing by 11.5% to 29,000 were new home sales in the Northeast. Nevertheless, sales remained well below last year's high reached in June.
The months' supply of homes on the market increased to 5.9 in April, but it remained well below the 7.4 months' supply reached in December. The median number of months a new home was on the market after its completion eased to 3.5 months, still up from the low of 2.7 months in October.
The data in this report are available in Haver's USECON database. The consensus expectation figure from Action Economics is available in the AS1REPNA database.
U.S. New Single-Family Home Sales (SAAR, 000s) | Apr | Mar | Feb | Apr Y/Y % | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total | 673 | 723 | 669 | 7.0 | 617 | 613 | 561 |
Northeast | 29 | 26 | 33 | -12.1 | 32 | 38 | 34 |
Midwest | 87 | 94 | 82 | 3.6 | 76 | 70 | 68 |
South | 369 | 398 | 380 | 5.1 | 349 | 338 | 318 |
West | 188 | 205 | 174 | 16.8 | 162 | 162 | 143 |
Median Price (NSA, $) | 342,200 | 305,800 | 316,100 | 8.8 | 323,125 | 321,633 | 306,500 |