Recent Updates
- Taiwan: Manufacturing PMI, Non-manufacturing PMI (Feb)
- China: Foreign Reserves (Feb)
- US: Employment Situation (Feb), Intl Trade (Jan)
- US: Establishment Survey Detail (Feb)
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Economy in Brief
U.S. Consumer Credit Outstanding Declines in January
Consumers reduced credit balances further in January...
U.S. Trade Deficit Widens to $68.2 Billion in January
The U.S. trade deficit in goods and services widened to $68.2 billion in January...
German Order Growth Gets Back in Gear Despite the Headwinds
German order growth is back in gear with total orders rising by 1.4% m/m in January...
U.S. Factory Orders & Shipments Rise Again in January
Manufacturing activity is strengthening. Factory orders rose 2.6% (2.8% y/y) in January...
U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Rise Just 9,000
Initial claims for unemployment insurance rose modestly by 9,000 to 745,000 in the week ended February 27...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
by Carol Stone, CBE May 2, 2019
After jumping 37,000 in the April 20 week, initial claims for unemployment insurance held steady at 230,000 (8.0% year-on-year) during the week ended April 27. The April 20 number was unrevised. The Action Economics Forecast Survey expected 215,000 claims. The four-week moving average of initial claims increased to 212,500.
Continuing claims for unemployment insurance rose 17,000 to 1.671 million (-5.8% y/y) in the week ending April 20, from 1.654 million in the prior week, which was revised down by 1,000. The four-week moving average of claimants decreased to 1.674 million.
The insured rate of unemployment remained at the record low 1.2%, where it has been since May 2018. Data on the insured unemployment rate go back to 1971.
Insured rates of unemployment vary widely by state. During the week ending April 13, the lowest rates were in Florida and Nebraska (0.40%), North Carolina (0.43%), South Dakota and Tennessee (0.47%) and Virginia (0.50%). The highest rates were in Illinois (1.79%), Connecticut (2.06%), New Jersey (2.11%), California (2.12%) and Alaska (2.55%). Among the other largest states by population not mentioned above, the rate was 0.89% in Texas, 1.36% in New York and 1.74% in Pennsylvania. These state data are not seasonally adjusted.
Data on weekly unemployment claims going back to 1967 are contained in Haver's WEEKLY database, and they are summarized monthly in USECON. Data for individual states are in REGIONW. The expectations figure is from the Action Economics Forecast Survey, carried in the AS1REPNA database.
Unemployment Insurance (SA, 000s) | 04/27/19 | 04/20/19 | 04/13/19 | Y/Y % | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Initial Claims | 230 | 230 | 193 | 8.0 | 220 | 244 | 262 |
Continuing Claims | -- | 1,671 | 1,654 | -5.8 | 1,756 | 1,961 | 2,135 |
Insured Unemployment Rate (%) | -- | 1.2 | 1.2 |
1.3 |
1.2 | 1.4 | 1.6 |