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Economy in Brief
Import and Export Prices Fall with Commodity Prices
Import prices fell a greater-than-expected 0.5% during August (-2.0% y/y)...
U.S. Business Inventories & Sales Increase
Total business inventories rose 0.4% (4.8% y/y) in July...
European Trade and Current Account Surpluses Expand
The EMU trade and current account positions shifted to post larger surpluses in July...
U.S. CPI Edges Higher; Core Prices Accelerate Y/Y
The Consumer Price Index rose 0.1% during August (1.7% y/y)...
U.S. Government Budget Deficit Tops $1 Trillion
The U.S. Treasury Department reported that the federal government ran a $1.067 trillion budget deficit during the first 11 months of FY'19...
Special Topics
US Purchasing Managers "Recession" Warning---- Few Firms Report Gains in Orders and Production
Corporate Profits--- Long Slide Has Preceded Recessions in Years Past
China, Please Stop Selling US Goods at Prices Less Than We Can Produce Them
If Some Bloomberg TV Guest Pundits Were Weather Forecasters....
by Tom Moeller April 23, 2019
The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) Price Index for house purchases rose 0.3% in February following an unrevised 0.6% January increase. The 4.9% y/y increase was the weakest since early-2015, down from a 7.6% high early in 2018.
Monthly increases in prices were strongest in the East South Central and New England regions of the country, although y/y increases were either moderately below or stable with last year.
Home price inflation decelerated sharply in the East North Central, West North Central, West South Central and Pacific regions of the country.
Declines in house prices were logged in February in both the Middle Atlantic and Mountain regions. Twelve-month price increases slowed dramatically after strengthening during all of last year.
The FHFA house price index is a weighted purchase-only index that measures average price changes in repeat sales of the same property. The indexes are based on transactions involving conforming, conventional mortgages purchased or securitized by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac. Only mortgage transactions on single-family properties are included. The FHFA data are available in Haver's USECON database.
| FHFA U.S. House Price Index, Purchase Only (SA %) |
Feb | Jan | Dec | Feb Y/Y | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 4.9 | 6.7 | 6.6 | 6.0 |
| New England | 1.1 | -0.6 | 0.9 | 4.3 | 5.5 | 5.8 | 4.1 |
| Middle Atlantic | -1.2 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 3.8 | 5.5 | 4.9 | 3.6 |
| East North Central | 0.6 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 5.7 | 6.5 | 6.0 | 5.3 |
| West North Central | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 4.9 | 6.2 | 5.4 | 5.6 |
| South Atlantic | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 5.5 | 7.2 | 6.8 | 6.9 |
| East South Central | 1.4 | 0.1 | -0.2 | 6.4 | 6.3 | 5.8 | 5.0 |
| West South Central | 0.4 | 0.8 | -0.2 | 3.5 | 5.4 | 6.5 | 5.7 |
| Mountain | -0.5 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 6.5 | 9.3 | 8.6 | 7.8 |
| Pacific | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 3.7 | 7.7 | 8.6 | 8.0 |
|
