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Economy in Brief
U.S. Housing Affordability Fell Back in February, but Still in Recent Range
The NAR U.S. Fixed Rate Mortgage Housing Affordability Index decreased 7.6% (-1.4% y/y) in February to 173.1...
European New Car Registrations Remarkably Strong Yet Forgettable
Car registrations are not going to be the only statistic that bears these dual and seemingly dueling characteristics...
U.S. Retail Sales Soar in March
Total retail sales including food service and drinking establishments increased 9.8% (27.7% y/y) during March...
U.S. Industrial Production Rebounded in March
Industrial production rebounded in March, rising 1.4% m/m (+1.0% y/y)...
U.S. Home Builder Index Edges Higher in April
The NAHB-Wells Fargo Composite Housing Market Index rose 1.2% to 83 during April...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
by Tom Moeller March 29, 2019
The housing market has been exhibiting strength recently. New home sales increased 4.9% (0.6% y/y) during February to 667,000 (SAAR) from 636,000 in January, revised from 607,000. December sales also were revised up. It was the highest level of sales since last March. February sales of 617,000 had been expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. These sales transactions are recorded when sales contracts are signed or deposits are made.
The median price of a new home increased 3.8% (-3.6% y/y) to $315,300 from 303,900 during January, revised from $317,200. The average price of a new home rebounded 6.0% (1.6% y/y to $379,600 and recovered January's decline.
By region, sales patterns remained mixed. Purchases in the Northeast surged by roughly one-quarter to 33,000 (-28.3% y/y), while sales in the Midwest also strengthened by roughly one-quarter to 77,000 (-3.7% y/y). New home sales in the South improved 1.8% to 391,000 (6.8% y/y), the highest level since July 2007. In the West, sales held steady m/m at 166,000 (-2.9% y/y), the highest level since July of last year.
With the improvement in sales, the months' supply of homes on the market declined to 6.1 in February, the lowest level since June. It took longer, however, to sell a new home. The median number of months a new home was on the market after its completion increased to 3.8 months, the most since April.
The data in this report are available in Haver's USECON database. The consensus expectation figure from Action Economics is available in the AS1REPNA database.
U.S. New Single-Family Home Sales (SAAR, 000s) | Feb | Jan | Dec | Feb Y/Y % | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total | 667 | 636 | 588 | 0.6 | 620 | 616 | 560 |
Northeast | 33 | 26 | 30 | -28.3 | 33 | 40 | 32 |
Midwest | 77 | 60 | 63 | -3.7 | 76 | 72 | 69 |
South | 391 | 384 | 363 | 6.8 | 350 | 341 | 317 |
West | 166 | 166 | 132 | -2.9 | 161 | 164 | 142 |
Median Price (NSA, $) | 315,300 | 303,900 | 322,800 | -3.6 | 322,550 | 321,633 | 306,500 |