Recent Updates

  • Finland: Retail Trade Flash (May)
  • Taiwan: Consumer Confidence Index (Jun)
  • Australia: Flow of Funds (Q1)
  • Japan: International Trade, Input Output Prices, Wholesale & Retail Trade, Trade by Country, Lease Contracts (May), First 10 Days
  • more updates...

Economy in Brief

U.S. Pending Home Sales Fall
by Tom Moeller  March 28, 2019

The National Association of Realtors (NAR) reported that pending home sales declined 1.0% (-4.9% y/y) during February following a 4.3% gain, revised from 4.6%. Sales have declined 9.7% since the peak in April 2016.

Sales were mixed throughout the country. In the Midwest sales declined 7.2% (-6.1% y/y) after a 3.0% rise. In the Northeast sales slipped 0.8% (-2.6% y/y) after a 0.3% gain. Offsetting these declines, sales rose 1.7% in the South (-2.9% y/y) after an 8.9% jump. In the West sales improved 0.5% (-9.6% y/y) following a 0.1% uptick.

The pending home sales index measures sales at the time the contract for an existing home is signed, analogous to the Census Bureau's new home sales data. In contrast, the National Association of Realtors' existing home sales data are recorded when the sale is closed. In developing the pending home sales index, the NAR found that the level of monthly sales contract activity anticipates the level of closed existing home sales in the following two months. The series dates back to 2001, and the data are available in Haver's PREALTOR database.

Pending Home Sales (SA, 2001=100) Feb Jan Dec Feb Y/Y % 2018 2017 2016
Total 101.9 102.9 98.7 -4.9 104.7 109.1 109.8
   Northeast 92.1 92.8 92.5 -2.6 92.4 97.1 96.4
   Midwest 93.2 100.4 97.5 -6.1 100.2 104.9 107.4
   South 121.8 119.8 110.0 -2.9 121.6 123.9 123.0
   West 87.5 87.1 87.0 -9.6 92.3 99.5 102.3
close
large image