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Economy in Brief
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Developed Economies Manufacturing Sectors Hit Hard in June
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U.S. Income Gained, Spending Slowed in May
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Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
by Sandy Batten March 26, 2019
The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) Price Index for house purchases rose 0.6% m/m (5.6% y/y) in January following an unrevised 0.3% m/m increase in December. The January increase was the largest monthly gain since February 2018, but nonetheless, was a continuation of the slowing trend in place over the past year as the y/y rate fell again in January. It has fallen more than two percentage points since February 2018. The 5.6% y/y advance in January was the slowest annual rise since February 2016. However, over the most recent six months, the national index rose at a 5.3% annual rate, the fastest six-month pace since July 2018.
The moderation in prices in the national index over the past year has generally been echoed across the nine major census regions. The most pronounced decelerations have been in the Pacific, South Atlantic, and West South Central regions. In January, prices fell in only one region--a 0.7% m/m decline in New England, the largest monthly decline since early 2014. And they edged up only 0.1% m/m in the Pacific region and 0.2% m/m in the East South Central region. In contrast, prices jumped up 1.1% m/m in the East North Central Region, the largest monthly increase since February 2017, and rose 0.9% m/m in the Mountain region, adding to the recent acceleration of price increase experienced there (other the past six months, up 8.0% at an annual rate).
From a year ago, prices rose in each of the nine regions in January. The Mountain region experienced the largest increase (7.8% y/y), while the Pacific region experienced the weakest increase (4.3% y/y).
The FHFA house price index is a weighted purchase-only index that measures average price changes in repeat sales of the same property. An associated quarterly index includes refinancings on the same kinds of properties. The indexes are based on transactions involving conforming, conventional mortgages purchased or securitized by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac. Only mortgage transactions on single-family properties are included. The FHFA data are available in Haver's USECON database.
FHFA U.S. House Price Index, Purchase Only (SA %) |
Jan | Dec | Nov | Jan Y/Y | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 5.6 | 6.7 | 6.7 | 6.1 |
New England | -0.7 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 4.4 | 5.4 | 5.9 | 4.1 |
Middle Atlantic | 0.8 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 5.5 | 5.4 | 4.9 | 3.7 |
East North Central | 1.1 | 0.5 | -0.3 | 5.7 | 6.5 | 6.1 | 5.4 |
West North Central | 0.6 | 0.5 | -0.2 | 5.4 | 6.2 | 5.4 | 5.6 |
South Atlantic | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 5.8 | 7.2 | 7.0 | 7.0 |
East South Central | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 5.8 | 6.2 | 5.9 | 5.1 |
West South Central | 0.7 | -0.2 | 1.0 | 5.2 | 5.3 | 6.5 | 5.8 |
Mountain | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 7.8 | 9.3 | 8.8 | 7.9 |
Pacific | 0.1 | 0.6 | -0.5 | 4.3 | 7.7 | 8.7 | 8.0 |
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