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Economy in Brief
U.S. Mortgage Applications Continued to Rise, but only Slightly
The Mortgage Bankers Association reported that mortgage applications edged up 0.7% w/w...
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U.S. Consumer Confidence Deteriorates Further in June
The Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index weakened 4.4% (-23.4% y/y) in June...
U.S. FHFA House Prices Continued to Rise in April
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Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
by Tom Moeller February 13, 2019
The Mortgage Bankers Association reported that its total Mortgage Applications Index fell 3.7% (-10.9% y/y) during the week ended February 8, about the same as it did during the prior three weeks. These declines followed sharp increases early in January. Applications to purchase a home were off 6.1%, the largest of four straight weekly declines (-5.3% y/y). Applications to refinance a mortgage were little changed (-17.4% y/y) after a slight increase in the prior week.
The effective interest rate on a 15-year fixed-rate mortgage fell w/w to 4.16%, down from a 4.71% high early in November. The effective rate on a 30-year fixed-rate loan declined to 4.78%. The rate on a Jumbo 30-year loan was little changed at 4.56%, and for adjustable 5-year mortgages, the effective interest rate eased to 4.12%.
The average mortgage loan size dipped to $312,300 (7.1% y/y). For purchases, the average loan size fell to $313,400 (-0.8% y/y). For refinancings, the average loan size increased to $310,800 (18.0% y/y).
Applications for fixed-rate loans declined 9.8% y/y, while applications for adjustable-rate loans increased 8.5% y/y.
The survey covers over 75% of all U.S. retail residential mortgage applications and has been conducted weekly since 1990. Respondents include mortgage bankers, commercial banks and thrifts. The base period and value for all indexes is March 16, 1990=100. The figures for weekly mortgage applications and interest rates are available in Haver's SURVEYW database.
MBA Mortgage Applications (%, SA) | 02/08/19 | 02/01/19 | 01/25/19 | Y/Y | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total Market Index | -3.7 | -2.5 | -3.0 | -10.9 | -10.4 | -17.8 | 15.6 |
Purchase | -6.1 | -4.9 | -2.3 | -5.3 | 2.1 | 5.6 | 13.3 |
Refinancing | -0.1 | 0.3 | -5.5 | -17.4 | -24.3 | -34.0 | 17.3 |
15-Year Mortgage Effective Interest Rate (%) | 4.16 | 4.23 | 4.27 | 4.16 (Feb.'18) | 4.35 | 3.59 | 3.22 |