Recent Updates
- US: Adv Quarterly Servies (Q2), New Residential Construction (Jul), Consumer Sentiment (Aug-Prelim)
- Finland: Government Finance (Jul)
- US: Business Leaders Survey (Aug)
- Canada: Intl Transactions in Securities (Jun)
- more updates...
Economy in Brief
U.S. Home Builder Sentiment Improves Slightly
The NAHB-Wells Fargo Composite Housing Market Index rose to 66 in August...
U.S. Retail Sales Post A Strong Increase; Nonauto Sales Surge Unexpectedly
Total retail sales rose 0.7% (3.4% y/y) during July...
U.S. Industrial Production Lower on Manufacturing and Mining
Industrial production declined 0.2% during July (+0.5% y/y)...
U.S. Productivity Growth Increases in Q2, But Downward Revisions Shift Trend
Productivity in the nonfarm business sector grew at a greater-than-expected 2.3% seasonally adjusted annual rate during Q2’19...
U.S. Business Inventories Flat and Sales Edge Up in June
Total business inventories were unchanged m/m (+5.2% y/y) in June...
by Gerald D. Cohen February 1, 2019
Wholesale inventories increased 0.3% month-on-month (6.5% year-over-year) during November, following an upwardly revised 0.9% gain in October. The release of this data was delayed by the government shutdown.
Wholesale sales declined 0.6% during November (+4.0% y/y), the second consecutive monthly decline of this magnitude. October's reading was revised down from -0.2%. The Action Economics Forecast Survey looked for just a 0.1% decrease.
The inventory-to-sales (I/S) ratio at the wholesale level rose to 1.29, the fourth consecutive monthly gain. Still, the I/S ratio remains well below the cycle peak of 1.38 reached in February 2016.
The wholesale trade figures are available in Haver's USECON database. The expectations for sales are in the AS1REPNA database.
| Wholesale Sector - NAICS Classification (%) | Nov | Oct | Sep | Nov Y/Y | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inventories | 0.3 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 6.5 | 3.6 | 2.2 | 1.3 |
| Sales | -0.6 | -0.6 | 0.1 | 4.0 | 7.4 | -1.3 | -4.9 |
| I/S Ratio | 1.29 | 1.28 | 1.27 | 1.26 (Nov '17) | 1.30 | 1.35 | 1.33 |
