Recent Updates
- US: Business Employment Dynamics (Q2), Advance Durable Goods (Dec)
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Economy in Brief
U.S. Mortgage Applications Tumble
The MBA Mortgage Loan Applications Index fell 4.1% w/w (+39.7% y/y) in the weekend January 22...
U.S. Consumer Confidence Recovers During January
The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index increased 2.5% (-31.5% y/y) to 89.3 during January...
U.S. FHFA House Price Index Rose Further in November
The FHFA House Price Index increased 1.0% m/m in November...
U.S. Energy Prices Are Mixed
The price of regular gasoline rose to $2.39 per gallon (-4.5% y/y) in the week ended January 25...
U.K. Retail Survey Shows Extreme Weakness
The CBI U.K. retail volume survey shows dramatically weakened data for January and for the February outlook...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
by Sandy Batten January 23, 2019
The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) Price Index for house purchases rose a solid 0.4% m/m (5.8% y/y) in November following an upwardly revised 0.4% m/m increase in October (previously reported as +0.3% m/m). The 5.8% y/y rate of advance is the slowest since May 2016. Though prices increases have strengthened a bit recently, house price appreciation has eased noticeably over this year. In the most recent six months, the national index has increased at a 4.8% annual rate, down from the recent high of 8.6% at an annual rate in the six months ending in February 2018 but up from 4.3% posted in the six months ending in August 2018.
The moderation in prices in the national index over 2018 has generally been echoed across the nine major census regions. The most pronounced decelerations have been in the Pacific, Middle Atlantic, and West South Central regions. In November, prices in the Pacific regions fell 0.8% m/m (+4.8% y/y) while prices in the Middle Atlantic region recovered, jumping 1.0% m/m (4.8% y/y).
Joining the monthly decline in the Pacific region, prices in the East North Central and West North Central regions also fell in November, -0.2%m/m (+5.7% y/y) and -0.1% m/m (+5.6% y/y), respectively.
In contrast, prices jumped up 1.1% m/m (6.7% y/y) in the South Atlantic region and rose 1.0% m/m (4.5% y/y) in the West South Central region.
The FHFA house price index is a weighted purchase-only index that measures average price changes in repeat sales of the same property. An associated quarterly index includes refinancings on the same kinds of properties. The indexes are based on transactions involving conforming, conventional mortgages purchased or securitized by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac. Only mortgage transactions on single-family properties are included. The FHFA data are available in Haver's USECON database.
FHFA U.S. House Price Index, Purchase Only (SA %) |
Nov | Oct | Sep | Nov Y/Y | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 5.8 | 6.7 | 6.1 | 5.4 |
New England | 0.2 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 5.3 | 5.9 | 4.1 | 3.3 |
Middle Atlantic | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 4.8 | 4.9 | 3.7 | 2.6 |
East North Central | -0.2 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 5.7 | 6.1 | 5.4 | 4.3 |
West North Central | -0.1 | 1.1 | -0.1 | 5.6 | 5.4 | 5.6 | 4.0 |
South Atlantic | 1.1 | -0.3 | 0.4 | 6.7 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 6.2 |
East South Central | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 7.3 | 5.9 | 5.1 | 4.6 |
West South Central | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 4.5 | 6.5 | 5.8 | 6.2 |
Mountain | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 7.4 | 8.8 | 7.9 | 7.6 |
Pacific | -0.8 | 1.2 | -0.7 | 4.8 | 8.7 | 8.0 | 7.7 |
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