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Economy in Brief
U.S. Housing Starts Surge to 13-Year High
Fueled by low interest rates and a strong job market, new home building strengthened during December...
U.S. Industrial Production Lower on Utilities
Industrial production declined 0.3% in December on a weather-driven drop in utility output...
U.S. JOLTS: Job Openings Decline as Hiring Turns Tepid
U.S. JOLTS: Job Openings Decline as Hiring Turns Tepid...
U.S. Housing Affordability Edged Up in November
The NAR U.S. Fixed Rate Mortgage Housing Affordability Index edged up 0.3% m/m (13.9% y/y) to 163.8 in November ...
Euro Area Trade Surplus Shrinks
The EMU current account surplus fell to 33.94 billion euros in November...
by Tom Moeller January 11, 2019
The National Association of Realtors reported that its Composite Index of Home Affordability declined 10.6% y/y during November to 144.0. The index was one-third below its peak in January 2013. Month-to-month, home affordability declined 2.0%.
Together, principal & interest payments of $1,117 rose m/m to 17.4% of median income from 15.5% twelve months earlier. These percentages compare to a low of 11.6% early in 2013. Higher prices helped reduced affordability during the past year. The median sales price of an existing home strengthened 5.0% y/y to $260,500. The average mortgage rate rose to 4.99% in November, up from a 3.43% low in December 2012. Growth in median family income slowed to 3.0% y/y in November from 4.0% during all of last year.
The Housing Affordability Index equals 100 when median family income qualifies for an 80% mortgage on a median priced existing single-family home. A rising index indicates more buyers can afford to enter the home-buying market. Data on Home Affordability can be found in Haver's REALTOR database. Interest rate data can be found in the WEEKLY and DAILY databases.
| Housing Affordability | Nov | Oct | Sep | Nov Y/Y | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Composite Index | 144.0 | 146.9 | 147.4 | -10.6% | 159.3 | 168.5 | 168.0 |
| Payment as a Percent of Income | 17.4 | 17.0 | 17.0 | 15.5 | 15.7 | 14.9 | 14.9 |
| Principal and Interest Payment | $1,117 | $1,092 | $1,085 | 15.2% | $967 | $880 | $849 |
| Median Sales Price (Existing Single Family Home) | $260,500 | $257,700 | $259,300 | 5.0% | $247,508 | $233,642 | $221,350 |
| Monthly Mortgage Rate | 4.99% | 4.88% | 4.77% | 4.19% | 4.20% | 3.88% | 4.03% |
| Median Family Income | $77,216 | $77,021 | $76,654 | 3.0% | $73,891 | $71,062 | $68,260 |
