Recent Updates
- US: Consumer Sentiment (Jan-prelim), Mfg & Trade Inventories & Sales (Nov), IP & Capacity Utilization, Adv Retail Sales, Producer Prices (Dec)
- US: Industrial Production Detail (Dec)
- US: Producer Price Indexes by Commodity Detail (Dec)
- more updates...
Economy in Brief
Empire State Manufacturing Index Declines in January
The Empire State Manufacturing Index of General Business Conditions decreased to 3.5 in January...
U.S. Industrial Production Continues Recovery
Industrial production advanced 1.6% in December...
U.S. PPI Rose 0.3% in December
The Producer Price Index for final demand rose 0.3% (0.8% y/y) in December...
U.S. Business Inventories Accumulate during November as Sales Weaken
Total business inventories increased 0.5% during November (-3.2% y/y)...
The EMU Trade Surplus Stabilizes
Both exports and imports have been regaining momentum...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
by Tom Moeller November 28, 2018
The Mortgage Bankers Association reported that its total Mortgage Applications Index increased 5.5% (-14.4% y/y) last week following steady declines since early-last month. Purchase loan applications surged 8.8% (1.3% y/y) after a 3.1% rise, while applications to refinance improved 0.5% (-34.6% y/y) following a 5.0% fall.
The effective interest rate on a 15-year fixed-rate mortgage was little changed w/w at 4.65%, but remained up sharply from 3.01% averaged in July 2016. The effective rate on a 30-year fixed-rate loan also was steady at 5.26%. The rate on a Jumbo 30-year loan was unchanged at 4.97% and for adjustable 5-year mortgages, the effective interest rate was little-changed at 4.44%.
The average mortgage loan size increased to $294,500 (2.7% y/y). For purchases, the average loan size of $313,100 (-1.7% y/y) compared to $264,200 (4.3% y/y) for refinancings.
Applications for fixed-rate loans fell 16.0% y/y while applications for adjustable-rate loans increased 8.4% y/y.
The survey covers over 75% of all U.S. retail residential mortgage applications and has been conducted weekly since 1990. Respondents include mortgage bankers, commercial banks and thrifts. The base period and value for all indexes is March 16, 1990=100. The figures for weekly mortgage applications and interest rates are available in Haver's SURVEYW database.
MBA Mortgage Applications (%, SA) | 11/23/18 | 11/16/18 | 11/09/18 | Y/Y | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total Market Index | 5.5 | -0.1 | -3.2 | -14.4 | -17.8 | 15.6 | 17.9 |
Purchase | 8.8 | 3.1 | -2.3 | 1.3 | 5.6 | 13.3 | 15.5 |
Refinancing | 0.5 | -5.0 | -4.3 | -34.6 | -34.0 | 17.3 | 19.7 |
15-Year Mortgage Effective Interest Rate (%) | 4.65 | 4.66 | 4.71 | 3.65 (Nov'17) | 3.59 | 3.22 | 3.47 |