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Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
by Carol Stone, CBE August 23, 2018
The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) Price Index for house purchases rose 0.2% in June (6.5% y/y), following a 0.4% increase in May, which was revised from 0.2%. Over the last three months, the index was up at a 3.2% annual rate. The last two months show a marked slowing in that three-month pace back toward the range of 2011-2012.
By region, the Mountain states saw the strongest gain in June, 0.7% (9.6% y/y). The East South Central region prices were up 0.6% in the month (6.2% y/y). Prices in the Middle Atlantic region rose 0.5% m/m and 5.7% y/y. West North Central states saw a 0.4% gain in home purchase prices (5.9% y/y).
There was more modest 0.2% moves in the Pacific region and in the East North Central states, with prices in the Pacific area up 7.0% y/y and 6.5% in the East North Central area. In the West South Central region, June's prices edged up 0.1% (5.1% y/y).
Prices declined outright in New England and the South Atlantic states, by 0.4% in both regions, with New England up +5.2% y/y and the South Atlantic area, 6.6% y/y.
The FHFA house price index is a weighted purchase-only index that measures average price changes in repeat sales of the same property. An associated quarterly index includes refinancings on the same kinds of properties. The indexes are based on transactions involving conforming, conventional mortgages purchased or securitized by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac. Only mortgage transactions on single-family properties are included. The FHFA data are available in Haver's USECON database.
FHFA U.S. House Price Index, Purchase Only (SA %) |
Jun | May | Apr | Jun Y/Y | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 6.5 | 6.7 | 6.1 | 5.4 |
New England | -0.4 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 5.3 | 5.9 | 4.1 | 3.3 |
Middle Atlantic | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.8 | 5.7 | 4.9 | 3.7 | 2.6 |
East North Central | 0.2 | -0.3 | 0.8 | 6.5 | 6.1 | 5.4 | 4.3 |
West North Central | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 5.8 | 5.5 | 5.6 | 4.0 |
South Atlantic | -0.4 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 6.7 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 6.2 |
East South Central | 0.6 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 6.3 | 5.9 | 5.1 | 4.6 |
West South Central | 0.1 | 0.5 | -0.1 | 5.1 | 6.6 | 6.0 | 6.2 |
Mountain | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 9.6 | 8.8 | 7.9 | 7.7 |
Pacific | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 7.0 | 8.8 | 8.1 | 7.8 |
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