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Economy in Brief
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Chicago Fed National Activity Index Improves During December
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U.S. Existing Home Sales Edge Up in December; 2020 Sales Are Highest Since 2006
The NAR reported that sales of existing homes rose 0.7% (22.2% y/y) during December...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
by Tom Moeller August 16, 2018
Start-up activity in the housing market remained under pressure during July. Total housing starts rose 0.9% last month (-1.4% y/y) to 1.168 million (SAAR). That followed a 12.9% decline in June to 1.158 million, revised from 1.173 million. A rise to 1.259 million starts had been expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey.
Starts of single-family homes also increased 0.9% (2.7% y/y) last month to 862,000 units, following a 9.0% June decline to 854,000. Starts of multi-family units improved 0.7% (-11.6% y/y) to 306,000 after falling 22.3% to 304,000 in June.
The rise in starts last month was led by an 11.6% increase (7.5% y/y) in the Midwest to 173,000 after a one-third m/m decline during June. Housing starts in the South also firmed as they rebounded 10.4% (4.1% y/y) to 636,000 and made up most of the June decline. Working lower were starts in the West which fell by 19.6% (-10.9% y/y) to 262,000, the lowest level since January 2017. Starts in the Northeast were off 4.0% (-18.5% y/y) to 97,000 after a 4.7% decline.
Building permits improved 1.5% last month (4.2% y/y) to 1.311 million units following a 0.7% June fall. Single-family permits increased 1.9% (6.4% y/y) to 869,000 after a 1.2% June rise. Permits to build multi-family homes gained 0.7% (0.2% y/y) to 442,000 following three straight months of sharp decline.
The housing starts and permits figures can be found in Haver's USECON database. The expectations figure is contained in the AS1REPNA database.
The Financial Crisis at 10: Will We Ever Recover? from the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco is available here.
Housing Starts (000s, SAAR) | Jul | Jun | May | Jul Y/Y % | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total | 1,168 | 1,158 | 1,329 | -1.4 | 1,208 | 1,177 | 1,107 |
Single-Family | 862 | 854 | 938 | 2.7 | 852 | 785 | 713 |
Multi-Family | 306 | 304 | 391 | -11.6 | 354 | 392 | 397 |
Starts By Region | |||||||
Northeast | 97 | 101 | 106 | -18.5 | 111 | 116 | 135 |
Midwest | 173 | 155 | 239 | 7.5 | 180 | 185 | 150 |
South | 636 | 576 | 652 | 4.1 | 603 | 585 | 557 |
West | 262 | 326 | 332 | -10.9 | 314 | 292 | 265 |
Building Permits | 1,311 | 1,292 | 1,301 | 4.2 | 1,286 | 1,206 | 1,178 |