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Economy in Brief
U.S. Industrial Production Much Stronger than Expected in April
The increase in manufacturing output in April was once again led by motor vehicle and parts production...
U.S. Retail Sales Posted Solid Rise in April
Notwithstanding falling real incomes and declining confidence measures, consumer spending posted a solid increase...
U.S. Home Builder Index Took a Steep Drop in May
This is the fifth straight month that builder sentiment has declined...
U.S. Empire State Manufacturing Index Declines in May
The Empire State Manufacturing Index of General Business Conditions dropped thirty-six points...
Surging Imports Send the EMU Trade Scene Deeper into Deficit
The trade balance for the Euro Area fell sharply to 17.5 billion euros in March...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
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"Core" GDP Suggests Economy Gained Momentum in Q1:2022
by Tom Moeller June 27, 2018
The Mortgage Bankers Association reported that its total Mortgage Applications Volume Index fell 4.9% last week (-12.5% y/y), following a 5.1% increase during the prior week.
The effective interest rate on a 15-year mortgage was little-changed at 4.39%, and remained up sharply from September's low of 3.40%. The effective rate on a 30-year fixed-rate loan was steady at 4.96%. The rate on a Jumbo 30-year loan eased to 4.77%. For adjustable 5-year mortgages, the effective interest rate declined w/w to 4.16%, the lowest level since early last month.
Purchase loan applications declined 5.9% (+1.1% y/y), after a 4.3% rise during the prior week. Applications to refinance fell 3.5% (-27.2% y/y) after a 6.1% increase.
The average mortgage loan size fell to $293,200 (+2.1% y/y). For purchases, the average loan size declined to $309,900 (+0.5% y/y); for refinancings, it fell to $265,600 (+1.3% y/y).
Applications for adjustable-rate loans declined 19.0% y/y, while applications for fixed-rate loans fell 12.0% y/y.
The survey covers over 75% of all U.S. retail residential mortgage applications and has been conducted weekly since 1990. Respondents include mortgage bankers, commercial banks and thrifts. The base period and value for all indexes is March 16, 1990=100. The figures for weekly mortgage applications and interest rates are available in Haver's SURVEYW database.
MBA Mortgage Applications (%, SA) | 06/22/18 | 06/15/18 | 06/08/18 | Y/Y | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total Market Index | -4.9 | 5.1 | -1.5 | -12.5 | -17.8 | 15.6 | 17.9 |
Purchase | -5.9 | 4.3 | -1.5 | 1.1 | 5.6 | 13.3 | 15.5 |
Refinancing | -3.5 | 6.1 | -1.5 | -27.2 | -34.0 | 17.3 | 19.7 |
15-Year Mortgage Effective Interest Rate (%) | 4.39 | 4.41 | 4.36 | 3.49 (Jun'17) | 3.59 | 3.22 | 3.3 |