Recent Updates
- US: Consumer Sentiment (Jan-prelim), Mfg & Trade Inventories & Sales (Nov), IP & Capacity Utilization, Adv Retail Sales, Producer Prices (Dec)
- US: Industrial Production Detail (Dec)
- US: Producer Price Indexes by Commodity Detail (Dec)
- more updates...
Economy in Brief
Empire State Manufacturing Index Declines in January
The Empire State Manufacturing Index of General Business Conditions decreased to 3.5 in January...
U.S. Industrial Production Continues Recovery
Industrial production advanced 1.6% in December...
U.S. PPI Rose 0.3% in December
The Producer Price Index for final demand rose 0.3% (0.8% y/y) in December...
U.S. Business Inventories Accumulate during November as Sales Weaken
Total business inventories increased 0.5% during November (-3.2% y/y)...
The EMU Trade Surplus Stabilizes
Both exports and imports have been regaining momentum...
Viewpoints
Commentaries are the opinions of the author and do not reflect the views of Haver Analytics.
by Tom Moeller January 10, 2018
The Mortgage Bankers Association reported that its total Mortgage Applications Volume Index strengthened 8.3% last week (2.9% y/y) following declines during the prior four weeks. Purchase loan applications rose 5.0% (0.3% y/y) following a 2.6% decline. Applications to refinance surged 11.4% (6.5% y/y) following four weeks of decline.
The effective interest rate on a 15-year mortgage of 3.76% was little changed w/w, but was up sharply from 3.46% in September. The effective rate on a 30-year fixed-rate loan held steady w/w to 4.33%. The rate on a Jumbo 30-year loan was fairly stable at 4.22%. For adjustable 5-year mortgages, the effective interest rate eased to 3.69%, up from September's low of 3.25%.
The average mortgage loan size improved to $275,900, up 4.3% y/y. For purchases, the average loan size increased to $300,500 (1.2% y/y); for refinancings, it rose to $254,000 (8.9% y/y).
Applications for adjustable rate loans declined 7.4% y/y, while applications for fixed rate loans rose 3.5% y/y.
The survey covers over 75% of all U.S. retail residential mortgage applications and has been conducted weekly since 1990. Respondents include mortgage bankers, commercial banks and thrifts. The base period and value for all indexes is March 16, 1990=100. The figures for weekly mortgage applications and interest rates are available in Haver's SURVEYW database
MBA Mortgage Applications (%, SA) | 1/5/18 | 12/29/17 | 12/22/17 | Y/Y | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total Market Index | 8.3 | -1.6 | -3.5 | 2.9 | -17.8 | 15.6 | 17.9 |
Purchase | 5.0 | -2.6 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 5.6 | 13.3 | 15.5 |
Refinancing | 11.4 | -0.5 | -8.4 | 6.5 | -34.0 | 17.3 | 19.7 |
15-Year Mortgage Effective Interest Rate (%) | 3.76 | 3.72 | 3.75 | 3.65 (Jan. '17) | 3.59 | 3.22 | 3.37 |